I shall go backwards here! MTS - i don't think she will struggle. If she got say 30-40% yes she would struggle, she would obviously not me grammar school material. But her mark was at least 65% as i understand it.
More than 1200 took the test - far more than even 3-4 yrs ago. This means that say, for instance, the cut off point is 200 marks there might be 150 kids with 199 marks who have just missed out. 30 marks down is obviously substantially more than 199 per se. But that doesn't mean that someone with 30 marks down will necessarily struggle. And it's far more likely (as my eldest testifies) that someone who got in with way over the passmark because of heavy tutoring WILL struggle - because grammar school is not an easy option. BTW 'seriously tutor'?? I was very serious and so was my DD in her preparation as a matter of fact!
There are so many other factors coming into play: the numbers of applicants to the test, how they are on the day, nerves affect some more than others, etc etc. Focusing on the 30 mark issue isn't really relevant. And it's off piste as far as this thread is concerned.
Oh, MTS you're right in that it is unfair that some get in because they have been heavily tutored and this deprives children of a place who ought to get it. But life isn't fair is it? :(
So coming back to the other points: I wonder how moderation could have occurred if that's what happened? The appeal to our 2nd choice went to a separate admission authority than the one dealing with the grammar school admissions so that doesn't really make sense.
And we haven't requested moderation or anything.
Most definitely no sibing issue comes into play.
I've heard from a reliable source that if this school decides they want someone they will not give up. It's been suggested (Sanity I'm thinking of your thoughts here) that they've picked up that she was particularly good at somes areas (reading and writing are her forte), any weakness is in maths, so maybe that's been determined. Who knows?
The whole thing is surreal to be quiet honest.