Ah ha. Success! I am on the thread.
I know the anonymous style of this can create a bit of cynicism (as a 24 hour veteran of mums net I can see that clearly) - so a bit of insight to my background might be appreciated by thread followers.
I have a daughter at Dunottar and another child at Caterham. I have nephews and nieces who attended the grammar. I know all these schools quite well.
I have also been closely involved with DV. I think it only fair to be transparent on that.
What matters to me is the education and support my children receive from their schools. I have seen the huge benefit to my daughter that Dunottar has achieved in quite a short period. Having been concerned about it being a fallback option that might just be a bit second rate, to my huge and pleasant surprise I have found it a fantastic school that does its job very well indeed.
I knew little about educational value added until a few weeks ago and am now a bit of a nerd on the subject. This does not measure absolute outcomes, but rather relative outcomes.
So take an 11 year old predicted As and deliver them with As and a decent job is being done. Taking a D student and delivering Cs or an A student and delivering A*s is a rather better performance. And will score more highly for value added.
League tables are blunt tools. If you manage your inputs hard enough, the outputs become very predictable and not all that hard to deliver. Value added tables by contrast for some reason that escapes me are not published or much discussed. But now I 'get it' and for me it is clearly better to have a high value added school than a lower value added school.
Caterham provides a great case study in this, having lifted itself over this last decade from being a clear second best to RGS, to being toe to toe and delivering better outcomes from a less selective intake in the last 3-4 years.
The UL backing for that school has been exemplary and I see no reason to believe the existing strengths at Dunottar will not form a perfect foundation for a co-ed establishment of great quality to emerge.
Numbers in the short term and sports for boys appear to be the big areas of concern for those who fear Dunottar cannot be successful. It is true there will be no first fifteen rugby at Dunottar in the foreseeable future. It is also true that the numbers will be down again next year (inevitable given the recent uncertainty).
However, there are many other sports boys play and enjoy as much (or more) than rugby and having heard ULs initial thoughts on this subject Incan say that as a sport nut (and ex Old Reigation 1st fifteen player) I would have no fears on that count were I to be sending a son to the school.
And as for numbers. Well six of the local feeder schools and a survey of 700 prospective parents suggests the latent demand for the offering that Dunottar will now provide is very strong indeed. We will see.
What I would conclude with on that point is that a self fulfilling prophesy of declining numbers and low confidence will deliver a very different outcome than will a strong plan, from a secure school confident in its proposition and its future. Confidence is contagious and Dunottar now has it.
Prospective parents, please come and have a look next week. You might be very surprised by the sheer quality of what you find.