"There are some women who actually ask for intervention; induction of labour, instrumental deliveries, caesarean section, who would have been entered into the study and deemed low risk."
Emergency c/s, forceps, ventouse deliveries are only ever done in NHS hospitals where there is a clinical indication that they're needed. They would not ever be done on a low risk mother on request when there was no clinical indication. Some low risk mothers request planned c/s. They would not have been included in the study.
The place of birth study only included women who were deemed low risk at the start of labour.
It did not include women who had planned c/s or planned inductions.
"I just think these kinds of studies can't capture the complexity of childbirth in a way that lends itself to making strong predictions."
Joint statement by the RCOG and RCM:
"There is no reason why home birth should not be offered to women at low risk of complications and it may confer considerable benefits for them and their families. There is ample evidence showing that labouring at home increases a woman's likelihood of a birth that is both satisfying and safe, with implications for her health and that of her baby.1-3"
OK - 'ample evidence'. You may think the evidence is weak. Experts in this field clearly don't.
"I very much wanted a homebirth or MLU but my midwife said no, I had to go to the OU. But she also insisted that she still considered me low-risk. I think it was a 'better safe than sorry' situation."
Were you not aware that you are 'allowed' to have your baby anywhere you choose?
Your midwife was guilty of coercion and if she'd been overheard telling you that you 'had' to go to hospital then she would have been pulled up on it by her line manager. That is not ethical behaviour. My midwife and I knew I was carrying a very large baby and wanted a home birth. She contacted a consultant midwife at a large teaching hospital and asked for advice. Then she sat down with me and went through all the possible risks and benefits of labouring at home with a large baby. She made it clear that whatever I decided it was my decision to make, and that her responsibility was to make sure I understood what the issues were. TBH I'm quite shocked that midwives are STILL telling women they 'have' to go to hospital, particularly if they're low risk. It really does go against all accepted guidelines on good practice.
Are you still not aware that midwives and doctors are supposed to be giving evidence based recommendations and advice?
"that so you should do X instead of Y"
I don't tell women where they SHOULD give birth. That's for them to decide, based on their feelings and beliefs about birth, and on the particularities of their health and their pregnancy. 'Should' only comes in to it as far as I'm concerned in the sense that women 'should' be given information about maternity care based on the evidence that we have, and a sensible discussion of the research should form part of the decision making process.
Waffle, coercion and ill-informed speculation is what needs to be left out of the decision making process about where and how you have your baby.