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Brexit

If article 50 were withdrawn can we stay in the EU on the same terms?

43 replies

dollybird · 08/12/2018 15:39

DH is certain that he heard that we couldn't, does anyone have a definitive answer?

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1tisILeClerc · 08/12/2018 15:56

While I also believe this to be the case it would be better to wait a couple more days until the ECJ has ruled and the choices will become clearer but not necessarily how we achieve them.
To think the EU will simply say 'OK no problem' after the UK has been messing around and costing the EU many Billions over the last 2 1/2 years might be a bit naive.

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Quietrebel · 08/12/2018 16:07

The answer is YES as long as it happens before B day. I asked this very question during the MN webchat with experts recently (unfortunately can't link to it). Our status is still legally 100% unchanged as we've not left so yes. Terms would remain untouched.

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dollybird · 08/12/2018 16:13

So a bit like handing in your notice, then changing your mind before your last day?

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Quartz2208 · 08/12/2018 16:18

There should be a court ruling on this on Monday about whether we can simply do it or whether the other members need to agree but the ruling will come after the court's top legal advisor, the EU advocate general, recommended this week that the UK be given the power to revoke Article 50 without the consent of the EU's other member states.

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Peregrina · 08/12/2018 16:18

So a bit like handing in your notice, then changing your mind before your last day?

How you are treated after that would depend on what sort of employee you'd been. If you'd been someone highly valued that they were sorry was leaving, no doubt you'd be welcomed back with open arms. If you were something of a trouble maker and never satisfied, then I doubt that you'd get all that many favours offered. Guess which one the UK has been?

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Quietrebel · 08/12/2018 16:20

I'm not sure that a good comparison. The point is if we are allowed to revoke unilaterally, the terms of our membership will indeed remain the same because as I said, we're still in. We're not employees. We're equal members alongside 27 others.

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GirlsBlouse17 · 08/12/2018 16:25

I had heard somewhere that if we revoked article 50, we would keep the same terms. It would be as if Brexit was cancelled. However it would have to be on condition that we genuinely wanted to remain and weren't revoking it just to buy us more time then leave later.

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SaraGillie · 08/12/2018 16:49

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Thegirlinthefireplace · 08/12/2018 17:25

I am a staunch remainer and would revoke tomorrow if I had the power, but, I also think the UK should commit to paying costs of this whole fiasco and show some commitment to EU (not sure what exactly would cut the mustard). That would be the hard sell not just to leavers but to lukewarm/reluctant retainers.

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eurochick · 08/12/2018 17:27

I work in the area of publication international law (including treaties) and the answer is yes.

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BeardedMum · 08/12/2018 17:30

Please someone just revoke it and save us from this sorry mess

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bellinisurge · 08/12/2018 17:30

Yes.

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Peregrina · 08/12/2018 17:41

How would the rest of the EU tell we were acting in good faith? Perhaps an overwhelming vote in Parliament would be sufficient/

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GirlsBlouse17 · 08/12/2018 19:06

Not sure. Maybe if a second referendum resulted in a Remain majority?

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1tisILeClerc · 08/12/2018 19:10

The general negativity shown by the UK over the last 2 1/2 years particularly, but being relatively luke warm for the last 40, certainly at political level, has been noted.
Like the 'women's intuition' where a MN contributor suspects the OH is cheating, the EU know what the situation is. They don't need their security services to ferret the information out either.

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jasjas1973 · 08/12/2018 19:45

1tisILeClerc

All countries have political problems, Greece, Germany, France Italy Spain etc
Of course the EU would welcome us back, the terms exactly stay the same if we revoke before 29th March or via a PV and an extension to art 50.

I don't know why you say we ve not been a good European member? thatcher was key architect of the SM, we are a net contributor, we always help out in defense rolls, we ve been a keen advocate of expansion, the space program, Galileo, security co-op.

Given the huge numbers of EU workers who ve come here to work in the last 10 or so years, its hardly surprising people have used this as a means to force through their anti eu views but thats a failure of Westminster.

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JustABetterPlayer · 08/12/2018 19:59

I would of imagine so yes, and the EU would likely rejoice as it would save them a lot of money and headaches when they have plenty of other problems to deal with.

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GirlsBlouse17 · 08/12/2018 20:05

There has definitely been negativity over the past 45 years since we joined. I would say our government's and media have had a lot to do with that. I think part of the problem was our governments decided not to have the UK join at the start in the 1950s where we would have been greatly involved in shaping the EU from the start. Therefore when we finally joined in 1973, the EU had already been shaped without our involvement so we had missed our chance to influence the way it had initially developed, and so we became the reluctant member, because the EU was shaped initially for the needs and visions of its founder members. I think this then set the level of reluctance of our involvement thereafter.

I think if we had another go at things if we revoked article 50, we should embrace our membership as we may gave a better chance of shaping it's future enthusiastically rather than fighting it.

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GirlsBlouse17 · 08/12/2018 20:07

Sorry, realise how long that sentence was!

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Xenia · 10/12/2018 08:21

CJEU this morning has confirmed, as we expected after the AG's opinion, that the notice can be withdrawn so I presume that case returns to the Scottish courts who referred it to the CJEU. curia.europa.eu/jcms/upload/docs/application/pdf/2018-12/cp180191en.pdf

It is a fairly academic point in my view as no one with power proposes to withdraw the notice.

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bellinisurge · 10/12/2018 08:25

As I said earlier: Yes.

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Ifailed · 10/12/2018 08:25

it's a very useful card to have during a negotiation if the other party knows you can get up and walk anyway at anytime. I expect May will be sent back to the EU with a shopping list of demands now.

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Satsumaeater · 10/12/2018 08:31
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Satsumaeater · 10/12/2018 08:32

Sorry hadn't realised Xenia had already posted the same link!

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bellinisurge · 10/12/2018 08:34

Trouble is, she can't walk away and Remain. Too much noise to Leave and a larger vote than Remain in the referendum. A majority but only a small one of only the people that voted. But still a majority.

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