Help! What are the real chance of snow on Thursday

[TheUnmentioned]

in central scotland, fife and perthshire?

I have to get to a very important appointment and will have a new baby and preschooler in the car.

Is it a really bad forcast for the whole of the uk on thursday ?

Was just about to start a thread on this.

early advisory for heavy snow from the met office.

Will just go and have a look at the models to see what they show atm.

Thanks OYSSK

Unmentioned - I'm afraid it doesn't look great for you.

From a meteorological point of view it looks very interesting if it comes off. A cold front from the arctic looks set to sweep its way down, with very cold air behind it. Could be pretty dramatic with thundersnow and graupel. behind it would be havy snow. If anyone remembers the one that went through in Jan 2004, its that kind of thing.

havy=heavy. doh.

I dont get that link, I looked at it earlier. The colour coded map seems to say it wont be that bad but the actual weather forecast seems pretty bad?

How long is it meant to last? What about Friday?

But whereabouts will it snow?!

I'm pretty much in the centre of Britain. Do I need to prepare for snow armageddon mark 2?

Thanks - I've just learned a new word (just googled graupel)!

How does it look for east Anglia and the east Midlands?
We'd planned a tour of the family pre-Christmas - should I be planning a fall back?

Early advisories tend to give a general indication - it is too early for them to be specific.

If this front moves through like some of the models show at the moment then basically the weather will be quite benign and very quickly change to very dramatic - strong squally winds, hail, graupel turning to heavy snow that would quickly cover everything. You'll know its coming by the 'bloody hell what was just happened? the weather has gone mad' posts from people north of you.

Noone could give specific timings or locations yet - look how widespread the met office advisories are.

Then the cold air that it beings behind it will last for at least a few days - probably almost up til Christmas (then the models are getting very very unreliable)

Even if it doesn't come through in such a dramatic fashion it is still very likely that the weather will turn cold and wintery.

onimolap. yes.

OYSSK: b@gg@r!

sorry. I might be wrong though!

netweather discussion recalling the 2004 event for a taste of possibilities.

Oh, lordy. We are supposed to be heading up from Fife to Inverness for Christmas - this doesn't sound very good.

Gotta love that snowy kitten, though. You deserve a MN Oscar.

But no snow forecast for Fife/central Scotland?? here

scroll down to thursday!

OK - so on Thursday theres a chance of snow - it's winter, we get snow!

Pmsl

What is graupel?!

fair enough lal, I am glad you are prepared :)

graupel is soft hail, usually occurs when the weather is particularly convective.

SnowyKitten - I'm guessing it's too early to say BUT any idea yet where the dividing line between rain and snow will be on Thursday. We are N Oxon/N'hants/Warwks border, and need to do a major journey on Friday...

I can see that there's heavy rain/snow forecast, but is anyone guessing yet what will fall where?

Erm does this mean we are likely to have a heavy weather front with major disruption for the next week then?

No idea what i am going to do if the weather plays foul...

Thanks Kittens

fatsatsuma, not yet I'm afraid. I'll have a good read of everything this evening and give you all the latest thoughts.
Deck - possibly.