Data & analysis thread, started 9th April 2022

[Jenasaurus]

Welcome to another instalment of the DATA thread.

Our preference is for factual, data driven and analytical contributions.
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
UKHSA Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefing
UKHSA Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/guidance/monitoring-reports-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
UKHSA Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths
PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

Thank you

Thanks

thanks @Jenasaurus good to see daily numbers out of the thread title now :)

Numbers in hospital in England looks to be very close to peaking in this exit wave - still rising and on a very shallow trajectory now, and the South West certainly looks to have turned the corner.

South West

South East

North West

North East and Yorkshire

Midlands

London

East of England

East of England - graph to go with words

Thanks for the new thread.

Here's the variant update from yesterday as the link above doesn't work:
www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefings

Thread on the BA.4 and BA.5:

twitter.com/Tuliodna/status/1513529930046648326

Looking at the link from lonelyplanet I’m wondering if everyone will be getting covid every few months. Lots had omicron around December/January and now again with the next variant. Will it be that we’re in a co start cycle of getting covid every few weeks/months indefinitely? And how on earth will that work with wirk and school absences with people ill and those who take weeks to recover will permanently be ill. Please do correct me if this isn’t likely but I’ve had a wave of realisation this evening that this could be constant - living with covid could mean constant disruption and illness indefinitely

@Reastie

Looking at the link from lonelyplanet I’m wondering if everyone will be getting covid every few months. Lots had omicron around December/January and now again with the next variant. Will it be that we’re in a co start cycle of getting covid every few weeks/months indefinitely? And how on earth will that work with wirk and school absences with people ill and those who take weeks to recover will permanently be ill. Please do correct me if this isn’t likely but I’ve had a wave of realisation this evening that this could be constant - living with covid could mean constant disruption and illness indefinitely

I hadn't thought about it until replying to another post this evening, but I've reached the same conclusion.

I don't know if there will be a natural end point at some point. Guess we have to hope that all the people on social media that think it will just become a seasonal strain like other coronaviruses are right.

Meta analysis shows no increases risk of heart problem following vaccine

www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2600(22)00059-5/fulltext

Reastie and Rafa you may well be right, although some scientists believe there's a bit of seasonality too. So, with time, let's hope we might not all be ill during the summer months or year-round.

Grim, isn't it? Plus there's all the other bugs too. So we'll have the flu, colds, noro, etc etc plus a regular dose of covid to look forward to.

I think all we can do is push for improved hygiene and ventillation in public spaces to try and limit the spread off contagious illness in general. Hopefully it'll get us through winter without all of us being ill at once and the country grinding to a hault.

yep, I think encouraging measures to stop people getting ill with respiratory disease would be a general boon

quick update on health metrics in England. Numbers - deaths aside - showing signs of easing. Whilst this wave peak has been someway below the peaks seen in early 2021 the current numbers are still multiple times higher than at this point last year.

First off admissions

number in hospital - as with all these just England figures

number on ventilator beds - good news here these are still below (just!) the equivalent point last year

NHS regional hospital numbers - rates per million - sine start of year