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Ukraine Invasion: Part 37

997 replies

MagicFox · 14/01/2023 15:52

Welcome all to thread 37. Thanks to everybody contributing to the backbone of these threads (extra hat tip to Ducks and Desdemona for posting daily updates) and to all lurkers too.

OP posts:
Thread gallery
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katem98 · 14/01/2023 15:57

Thanks @MagicFox

L1ttledrummergirl · 14/01/2023 16:18

Thank you @MagicFox for the new thread, and thanks to everyone who contributes. You are very much appreciated.

Igotjelly · 14/01/2023 16:27

Hola ❤️

MissConductUS · 14/01/2023 16:42

Sitrep from New York - SNAFU. 😁

TheABC · 14/01/2023 16:43

waves

notimagain · 14/01/2023 17:15

Ping

borntobequiet · 14/01/2023 17:20

Thanks once again.

Usou · 14/01/2023 17:39

Howdy.

Igotjelly · 14/01/2023 17:41

Another day another barrage of missiles. Seems that debris has fallen in Moldova again.

MMBaranova · 14/01/2023 18:23

Michael McFaul, Professor in International Studies at Stanford and former US Ambassador to Russia:

I'm not an expert on WWII. Were people in 1943 still discussing what annexed lands Hitler would get to keep as part of a "peace settlement"?

MMBaranova · 14/01/2023 18:30

Every Mother's Tears

My relatives in Dnipro seem to be OK but the recent hit generated this curse which I would endorse.

twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1614300880454524928

strawberriesarenot · 14/01/2023 19:57

Thank you.

Hillsmakeyoustrong · 14/01/2023 20:31

🙏💛💙🙏

Alighttouchonthetiller · 14/01/2023 20:53

Thanks for the thread! I am always here, hiding, and usually eating crisps. These threads are wonderful.

Autumnnewname · 14/01/2023 21:29

Thanks for new thread.

That mothers curse resonated.

And the videos from Dnipro are heartbreaking

flowerbombVR · 14/01/2023 21:42

Checking in!

MMBaranova · 14/01/2023 22:23

Whenever I feel powerless I remember that I can donate money. Military aid, humanitarian relief, reconstruction. There are different options.

This is an official Ukrainian gateway. There are many others.

war.ukraine.ua/donate/

Thereisnolight · 14/01/2023 23:06

.

dibly · 15/01/2023 02:31

Thanks for the new thread and to all the regular posters for the updates. The situation feels so much worse at the moment with Soledar, missiles, more mobilised on the way, the destruction of Kherson and the number of children being abducted is heartbreaking. The very worst kind of mental torture. Ukraine needs a break, when you throw in the political uncertainty I don’t know how they’re managing to cope. F*ck Putin

MagicFox · 15/01/2023 07:35

It's hard to imagine any outcome where Ukraine would ever be in a position not to fear Russia, not to be vulnerable. Russia consistently demonstrates its cruelty, its ability to hit no matter what. To hit dirtily. That capacity will never go away

OP posts:
XanaduKira · 15/01/2023 09:27

Checking in - thanks for the thread as I find them so informative.

notimagain · 15/01/2023 10:06

By one of the main RUSI analysts - this the Observer?Guardian newspaper this AM:

www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jan/14/tanks-will-help-kyiv-break-deadlock-but-its-ukraine-allies-now-face-a-fork-in-the-road

I've seen the potential problems caused by the weight of some of western Main Battle Tanks discussed in more specialist fora (sp?), first time I've seen mention of it in the mainstream press.

Yet another example of how there's more to this than just chucking kit into the theatre, and on a lighter note probably explains why a lot of armed Forces Logistics type personnel have been frequently saying "told you for years that our job was not as easy as it looks".

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 15/01/2023 10:21

Thank you for the thread, and the name check, particularly as my contribution isn't in the same league as ReleaseThe Ducks!

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 15/01/2023 10:52

Thanks @MagicFox ! @DesdamonasHandkerchief your contributions really do help - thank you

About the hopelessness and horror - Ukraine really has taken back a lot of territory and most of all, most of Ukraine is still free. Ukraine fought back a 65 km military convoy and Kyiv remains free.

Putin has fucked up royally. Russia's strings might well be pulled by China in 10 years' time. Russia is seen as pretty isolated, very very savage and untrustworthy by the whole damn world now.

The horror in Ukraine is ongoing and personally I'd like to see the hanging-back leaders of the West waterboarded in a Russian latrine (no not really, but GOD the deaths that are unnecessary that are happening!) .. but in 5 - 6 days time we will hear about the Rammstein conference and we can hope for tanks. Ukraine is also building its own long-range missile capability. That's incredible, for something that no one had even thought of 11 months ago.

Training is happening in several countries - US, Spain, UK, I forget the others, but there are some - on advanced equipment and systems.

So it's not hopeless. But Ukraine does need that extra hardware.

+++

www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates
Key Takeaways

Russian forces launched two waves of missile strikes targeting Ukrainian critical infrastructure on January 14.

The Kremlin continues to falsely claim Ukraine poses an existential threat to Russia to reject Ukrainian offers of a peace summit and retain Putin’s original maximalist goals.

The Kremlin continues to use long-standing false narratives that the Ukrainian government is oppressing religious liberties as moral justification for its refusal to negotiate with Ukraine and likely in the hopes of turning international public opinion against Ukraine.

Wagner financier Yevgeny Prigozhin continued to leverage the Wagner Group’s role in capturing Soledar to elevate his political stature and indirectly criticize the conventional Russian military.

Russian forces continued limited counterattacks along the Svatove-Kreminna line.

Russian forces continued offensive operations around Soledar as well as in the Bakhmut and Avdiivka areas. Ukrainian forces are highly unlikely to still hold positions within the settlement of Soledar itself.

Russian forces continued defensive operations and reinforced frontlines positions on the east (left) bank of the Dnipro River in Kherson Oblast.

Western officials are increasingly joining Ukrainian authorities in warning that Russia is preparing for an imminent second wave of mobilization.

Russian occupation officials in Kherson continued measures to forcibly relocate residents to Russia.

Ukrainian partisan attacks continue to disrupt Russian rear security efforts.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 37
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 15/01/2023 10:59

Kyiv Independent Telegram

Russia's 10th mass missile strike on Ukraine kills civilians, hits critical infrastructure (kyivindependent.com/national/russias-10th-mass-missile-strike-on-ukraine-kills-civilians-hits-critical-infrastructure)
Russia's recent strike hit a nine-story apartment building in Dnipro city, killing at least five people and injuring dozens, including six children, according to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Governor Valentyn Reznichenko.
Critical infrastructure was hit in "several oblasts," according to Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal.

⚡️Update: Russian strike on Dnipro kills 20, injures 60, including 7 children (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/update-russian-strike-on-dnipro-kills-5-injures-39-including-7-children).

⚡️ Official: Over 1,000 people need (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/official-over-1-000-people-need-housing-in-dnipro-following-russias-jan-14-strike) housing in Dnipro following Russia’s Jan. 14 strike.

⚡️Air Force: Ukraine downs 25 out of 38 (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/air-force-ukraine-downs-25-out-of-38-russian-missiles-on-jan-14) Russian missiles on Jan. 14.

⚡️ Russia cancels (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/russia-cancels-prisoner-exchange-planned-for-jan-14) prisoner exchange planned for Jan. 14.
Russia canceled an agreed-upon prisoner swap with Ukraine, which was meant to take place on Jan. 14, reported Ukraine’s Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War.

⚡️ Zelensky: Kyiv, Kharkiv oblasts most impacted (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/zelensky-energy-infrastructure-in-kyiv-kharkiv-oblasts-most-impacted-by-russias-jan-14-attack) by Russia's Jan. 14 attack on energy infrastructure.

⚡️Air Force: Ukraine needs Patriot (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/air-force-ukraine-does-not-have-means-to-down-kh-22-missiles) to down Kh-22 missiles Russia used to hit high-rise in Dnipro.
Ukraine's Air Force Command reported that Russia used five Tu-22М3 long-range supersonic missile carrier bombers to fire five Kh-22 missiles against Ukraine on Jan. 14. They were launched from Russia's border Kursk Oblast and the Azov Sea. One of those missiles hit a high-rise building in the city of Dnipro, killing 20 people and injuring 73

⚡️UK Defense Ministry: Russia considers raising (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/uk-defense-ministry-russian-considers-upper-conscription-age-to-bolster-reserves) upper conscription age to bolster reserves.
Russian State Duma Defense Committee chairman Andrey Kartapolov recently suggested Russia would extend the upper age of military conscription from 27 to 30 for the Spring 2023 draft, the U.K. Defense Ministry said in its daily intelligence update on Jan. 15.

More personnel losses again.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 37
Ukraine Invasion: Part 37
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