There is large uncertainty over this weekends weather. Parts of Ex-hurricane Nadine start to influence our weather, but the models are really struggling with what is a complex situation. If as it seems may happen, a deep low develops and moves up from our sw coasts, then parts could be in for extremely wet and very windy conditions especially on Sunday. The added sting to this sorry picture is that gfs then has the low sitting over the SW for days.
Look out for met office early warnings either today or tomorrow I think for Sunday.
'Fraid to say that up here it was fine and sunny, if a bit cold, and we managed a very nice party outside! Thanks so much for all the help with the forecasts - it would have been such a shame to have called it off and then realised we could have been outside after all. Tell you what, though, you could smell the weather changing in the air - had a definite 'rain coming' feel.
Well the party here went well, it was raining for most of it, so we stayed inside and had a 'how many people can you squeeze into a conservatory' party. We managed 11 children and 8 adults! Thank you for all the all too accurate forecasting.
amber warnings been extended across to the IOW for heavy rain tonight. Interestingly at the moment a dry slot seems to have formed around parts of the south coast. Feels cold though with temps of around 10c and lowering skies again.
Update from south coast: persistent heavy rain since early hours, windy/gusty, thunder & lightning now rumbling around IOW/coast. Storm seems directly overhead. Not a nice day! Just have to wait and see how it develops now I suppose.
I'm living dangerously and got the washing out at the moment! It's brightish but overcast. My weather station though is saying that the pressure has dropped in the last few hours and that rain is due, so it's getting that right!
Not a bad day up in Scotland. The low pressure seems to be moving more slowly northward than first programmed. Going to be a very wet day down South.
GFS does show some very heavy rain later tonight in the West Midlands/Wales and that will move north into Scotland tomorrow.
Winds still could be an issue tomorrow afternoon/evening for much of Scotland and southern coastal areas of England and that could remain an issue through Tuesday too. Nothing terrible showing at the moment but as I said in an earlier post with trees in leaf it takes less wind to bring them down.
Through this week lots more rain and wind to come for all at some time or another but by the weekend much calmer hopefully (though GFS does now show some pesky showers on sunday for much of England.)
I've been watching this storm since it was mentioned on netweather a few days ago and been watching it on the weather charts. But I was watching a day or two ago the way the low, once it moved across the south on Sunday/Monday, sort of does a circle of the UK on into Tuesday. So it didn't really surprise me that the warnings when they were released earlier today, covered Tuesday as well (I'm slowly learning how to read these weather chart thingys!) It does looks awful for the SW tomorrow and Monday ~ hope everyone keeps safe in those areas.