GCSE PROGRESS GRADES HELP

[SammyJack]

If a child is said to achieve a grade 5 at GCSE what grade should they be at year 7 P2 to be on target

Don't understand the graph.

[noblegiraffe]

No one knows. No one knows what a grade 5 looks like.

Schools are making stuff up and pretending it's science.

[TeenAndTween]

As noble says, because GCSE Grade 5s haven't even been awarded yet there is no data.

However, what follows is an informed guess. (Not a teacher, but have DDs in y12 and y6)

Under the old system level 4 in year 6 was meant to progress to a C at GCSE.
A C at GCSE is initially being pegged to a GCSE Grade 4. A Grade 5 is a high C / low B in old money. So extrapolating slightly that would be a high level 4 / low level 5 end year 6.

Half way through year 7 you won't really have expected to have moved much in levels (if your primary was intensive in SATs preparation they might even have dipped).

So my best guess would be at this stage in year 7, a 5c could be reasonably considered on target for a Grade 5 GCSE.

But as noble says, it is all a bit up in the air at the moment.

[SammyJack]

whats 5C in the new grade structure 1-9

[TeenAndTween]

?

I was saying 5c in old NC terms mid year 7, would be hopefullyish on track to get to a GCSE Grade 5 by end year 11.

But with the disclaimer from noble that it's all quite unclear.

[noblegiraffe]

Teen, I think the school isn't using levels but giving new GCSE grades in Y7.

It's all made up, OP. Whatever anyone tells you, no one can tell you with any accuracy where a P2 kid needs to be. They wouldn't have even been able to do it for levels and they were well established. A lot can happen in 4.5 years.

If your kid got a 5 at KS2 they should pass the new GCSE. If they got a 4, maybe, maybe not. A 3, probably not.

[TeenAndTween]

Oh, in that case, I am clueless.

[Tigerblue]

DD left primary with level 5 in English, Maths & Science. She's now in Year 10, so maybe still a little early to give accurate predictions, but initial thoughts are that she'll get:

Level 8 - Maths
Level 7 - English Lang & English Lit
A* could be achieved in Biology and Chemistry - suspect this is a little high myself!
C in physics - she's never really got a grasp of this, but her overall science assessment meant she was in top 25% who could do triple science

I think the above shows that, although, you get a general idea what they could achieve, nothing is 100% certain as there's certainly variation in the levels of DD's early predicted results