Slightly random question but this has got me thinking. We know there is lots of talk especially at the moment that children are expected to achieve a level 2 in ks1 and assuming progress is linear and expected should achieve a level 4 at the end of ks2. For these children what expectations are on them as they finish secondary school in terms of gcse? Would they be expected to achieve grades a-c?
I don't see how you can possibly know. e. g. DS1 was in the lower maths group all through primary and started secondary in the third set- within 6 months he was in the top set. In general then yes they would- they are at the expected level and the expected level at GCSE is grade C and above. It is why I am against 11+ you can't tell- they may be all A* later.
You can keep with the old system to get an idea of likely outcome. There are threads on here that roughly link, for instance, KS2 results & expected GCSEs. But keep in mind they aren't robots, they develop in plateaus and leaps. Progress is only (somewhat) consistently linear for groups, not for most individuals. I imagine solid L4 at KS2 would be targetted to get Bs&Cs at GCSE. Plenty of those will over- or under-perform, though.