Scottish Referendum: Mumsnet survey results

As the Scottish Referendum approaches, we polled Mumsnet users in Scotland to find out how they planned to vote. Results show the Yes campaign for an independent Scotland edging ahead, with one in 10 voters still to decide.

 

There will be a referendum on an independent Scotland on 18 September. If you are resident in Scotland and eligible to take part how do you intend to vote in response to the question: Should Scotland be an independent country?
Answer Options Response percent
Yes, I believe Scotland should become an independent country 48%
No, I do not believe Scotland should become an independent country 41%
I don't know/ not stated 11%

 

How sure or unsure are you of what the consequences of independence would be?
Answer Options Response percent 
I feel very sure about what the consequences would be 22%
I feel quite sure about what the consequences would be 32%
I feel neither sure nor unsure about what the consequences would be 13%
I feel quite unsure about what the consequences would be 15%
I feel very unsure about what the consequences would be 17%
I don’t know 1%

 

Net very/quite sure 54%
Net quite/very unsure 32%

 

Do you believe Scottish independence would be good or bad for your family?
Answer Options Response percent
I believe it would be very good for my family 30%
I believe it would be quite good for my family 16%
I believe it would be neither good or bad for my family 7%
I believe it would be quite bad for my family 18%
I believe it would be very bad for my family 18%
I don't know/ not stated 12%

 

Net very/quite good for family 46%
Net quite/very bad for family 36%

 

How much of a risk do you think Scotland remaining in the UK would be?
Answer options Response percent
I believe Scotland remaining in the UK would be a significant risk 39%
I don’t believe Scotland remaining in the UK would be a significant risk 51%
I don't know/ not stated 10%

 

How much of a risk do you think Scotland becoming independent would be?
Answer options Response percent
I believe Scottish independence would be a significant risk 48%
I don’t believe Scottish independence would be a significant risk 40%
I don’t know/not stated 11%

 

Do you think Scottish independence would be good or bad for the Scottish economy?
Answer options Response percent
I think Scottish independence would be good for the Scottish economy 42%
I don't think Scottish independence would be either good or bad for the Scottish economy 8%
I think Scottish independence would be bad for the Scottish economy 38%
I don't know/ not stated 12%

 

And do you think Scottish independence would be good or bad for the UK economy?
Answer options Response percent
I think Scottish independence would be good for the UK economy 8%
I don't think Scottish independence would be either good or bad for the UK economy 36%
I think Scottish independence would be bad for the UK economy 41%
I don't know/ not stated 15%

 

 

Do you think Scottish independence would make your family financially better or worse off?
Answer options Response percent
I think Scottish independence would make my family much better off 9%
I think Scottish independence would make my family slightly better off 17%
I think Scottish independence would make my family slightly worse off 19%
I think Scottish independence would make my family much worse off 22%
I think Scottish independence would make little financial difference to my family 21%
I don't know/ not stated 13%

 

Net much/slightly better off 26%
Net slightly/much worse off 43%

 

Do you think it likely or unlikely that Scots would be allowed to keep the pound in the event of Scottish independence?
Answer options Response percent
Very likely 38%
Quite likely 23%
Neither likely nor unlikely 5%
Quite unlikely 14%
Very unlikely 12%
I don't know/ not stated 8%

 

Net very/quite likely 61%
Net quite/very unlikely 27%

 

How concerned would you be if Scots in an independent Scotland were not allowed to keep the pound in a currency union with what remains of the United Kingdom?
Answer options Response percent
Very concerned 30%
Quite concerned 22%
Not concerned at all 41%
I don't know/ not stated 6%

 

Net very/quite concerned 52%

 

Do you think it likely or unlikely that mortgage rates are likely to rise in Scotland in the event of Scottish independence?
Answer options Response percent
Very likely 20%
Quite likely 24%
Neither likely nor unlikely 23%
Quite unlikely 8%
Very unlikely 5%
I don't know/not stated 20%

 

Net very/quite likely 44%
Net quite/very unlikely 19%

 

Do you think it likely or unlikely that credit card rates are likely to rise in Scotland in the event of Scottish independence?
Answer options Response percent
Very likely 14%
Quite likely 18%
Neither likely nor unlikely 26%
Quite unlikely 10%
Very unlikely 9%
I don't know/ not stated 23%

 

Net very/quite likely 32%
Net quite/very unlikely 19%

 

Do you think Scottish independence would lead to a higher or lower unemployment rate in Scotland?
Answer options Response percent
I believe Scottish independence would lead to a higher unemployment rate in Scotland 32%
I believe Scottish independence would lead to a lower unemployment rate in Scotland 38%
I believe it would make little difference to the unemployment rate in Scotland 19%
I don't know/ not stated 12%

 

Do you think it likely or unlikely that the cost of supermarket goods would rise more sharply in Scotland in the event of Scottish independence?
Answer options Response percent
Very likely 13%
Quite likely 21%
Neither likely nor unlikely 23%
Quite unlikely 16%
Very unlikely 15%
I don't know/ not stated 13%

 

Net very/quite likely 34%
Net quite/very unlikely 31%

 

The Scottish Government has promised to improve child care provision in the event of independence, with every three and four-year-old and vulnerable two-year-old becoming entitled to 30 hours of childcare each week. Would this policy make you more or less likely to support Scottish independence?
Answer options Response percent
This policy makes me more likely to vote for Scottish independence 32%
This policy makes me less likely to vote for Scottish independence 6%
This policy makes little difference to how I feel about Scottish independence 60%
I don't know/ not stated 2%

 

Thinking about Alex Salmond, the leader of the Yes campaign for independence, how well do you think he is doing his job?
Answer options Response percent
I think Alex Salmond is doing a very good job 25%
I think Alex Salmond is doing quite a good job 35%
I think Alex Salmond is doing quite a bad job 19%
I think Alex Salmond is doing a very bad job 15%
I don't know/ not stated 6%

 

Net very/quite good job 61%
Net quite/very bad job 33%

 

Thinking about Alistair Darling, the leader of the Better Together campaign, how well do you think he is doing his job?
Answer options Response percent
I think Alistair Darling is doing a very good job 4%
I think Alistair Darling is doing quite a good job 31%
I think Alistair Darling is doing quite a bad job 33%
I think Alistair Darling is doing a very bad job 22%
I don't know/ not stated 9%

 

Net very/quite good job 35%
Net quite/very bad job 55%

 

 Which of the two campaign leaders do you trust more?
Answer options Response percent
I trust Alex Salmond most 41%
I trust Alistair Darling most 32%
I don't know/ not stated 27%

 

What characteristics would you use to describe Alex Salmond? (Please tick all that apply)
Answer options Response percent
Ambitious 68%
Intelligent 53%
Arrogant 52%
Strong 40%
Principled 38%
Unattractive 25%
Dishonest 23%
Honest 21%
Blokeish 11%
Unintelligent 6%
Weak 4%
Modest 2%
Attractive 1%
Other 14%
No answer 2%

 

What characteristics would you use to describe Alistair Darling? (Please tick all that apply)
Answer options Response percent
Intelligent 53%
Arrogant 34%
Dishonest 32%
Ambitious 29%
Principled 26%
Weak 22%
Modest 15%
Strong 15%
Unattractive 14%
Honest 13%
Unintelligent 4%
Attractive 3%
Blokeish 2%
Other 9%
No answer 3%

 

Finally, if you have a partner does your partner agree with you on the issue of whether Scotland should become independent or not?
Answer options Response percent
Yes my partner agrees with me 71%
No my partner disagrees with me 12%
I don’t know/ not stated 8%
This is not applicable to me 8%

 

Last updated: over 1 year ago