My feed
Premium

Please
or
to access all these features

Weather

Christmas weather guess thread!

172 replies

OhYouBadBadKitten · 08/12/2017 17:10

Christmas eve is in the GFS model range woo hoo!!!
I’m an amateur, don’t rely on my forecasts etc etc, at this range it is entirely a guess, the models will change.....


I only have time for an instantaneous forecast at the moment -
GFS says: cold and settled.

back later for a better forecast.

OP posts:
Report
GloriaSmud · 08/12/2017 17:50

With all the excitement/possible snow coming this weekend, I'd forgotten Christmas was coming into range! But judging by what Louise Lear said on News24 earlier this afternoon (about cold carrying on throughout December) and looking at the GFS, I go with cold as well!

Report
christmaspudding1 · 08/12/2017 18:15

hope it is cold,Dorset here and we have had mild Christmas's for years

Report
OhYouBadBadKitten · 08/12/2017 18:56

It looks pretty promising for at least some seasonal temps and perhaps some flurries to go with it.

OP posts:
Report
keepondreaming · 08/12/2017 20:26

Putting my order in for Christmas: cold, bright, plenty of snow on the ground but roads clear! Thanking you Xmas Wink

Report
SweetChickadee · 08/12/2017 20:30

Canada calling Grin. Not a scrap of snow here, and none in the forecast. Mild temps and sun for the next week.

Maybe we'll have our first brown Christmas since emigrating Shock

Report
OhYouBadBadKitten · 08/12/2017 21:09

Maybe that’s a good sign for us Chickadee!

OP posts:
Report
OhYouBadBadKitten · 09/12/2017 09:10

Bah humbug, in this mornings model run the high pressure is in the wrong place, bringing mild temperatures over Christmas.

OP posts:
Report
OhYouBadBadKitten · 12/12/2017 08:55

dammit, it still looks mild and very wet according to the latest gfs. Back to traditional recent Christmas’.

OP posts:
Report
GloriaSmud · 12/12/2017 11:24

Bummer ~ it is, isn't it.
Oh please don't let the last few days be our only taste of snow this winter!

Report
GloriaSmud · 13/12/2017 10:03

Looking mild (possibly wet) for the south and chilly (might be snow for Scottish hills) for the north, on Christmas Day.
Many Bah humbugs!

Report
OhYouBadBadKitten · 13/12/2017 10:53

I’m not even looking today Xmas Grin

OP posts:
Report
hotdog74 · 13/12/2017 11:53

Bah humbug - is there still time for it all to change?

Report
OhYouBadBadKitten · 13/12/2017 12:45

there is hotdog. I’m not writing off Christmas yet.

OP posts:
Report
hotdog74 · 13/12/2017 13:54

Excellent news :-)

Report
fortyfourfeasts · 13/12/2017 17:28

Oh not another mild browny grey Christmas! Cold and crisp pleeeeaaaasseee!!!

Report
OhYouBadBadKitten · 13/12/2017 18:07

hah!!! gfs has just thrown up a very snowy christmas day chart. It’s having a laugh I’m sure!! I’ll have a proper look later and tomorrow to see if it’s a blip or a trend.

OP posts:
Report
GloriaSmud · 13/12/2017 18:11

Ahem ~ latest GFS showing precipitation type for Christmas Day Xmas Grin

Christmas weather guess thread!
Report
GloriaSmud · 13/12/2017 18:11

How's that for a x post!

Report
anyoldname76 · 13/12/2017 18:12

i hope we get snow, mild weather is just not christmassy Xmas Smile

Report
OhYouBadBadKitten · 13/12/2017 18:12

x-post Xmas Grin

jingle bells, jingle bells!!

What do you reckon Gloria? Is this going to be a reality, or do you think it’s been drinking too much sherry? I’ll have a proper look later.

OP posts:
Report
GloriaSmud · 13/12/2017 18:20

Welllll, the GFS did do pretty well with the cold a few days ago, forecasting that 10 or so days ahead. And it seems to have the temperatures dipping a few days before (from the 22/12) so kind of gives the feeling that it's a trend rather than a blip so think it would be wise to see what the next few runs do!

Report
BishopBrennansArse · 13/12/2017 18:31

Still rain for me Xmas Sad

Report

Don’t want to miss threads like this?

Weekly

Sign up to our weekly round up and get all the best threads sent straight to your inbox!

Log in to update your newsletter preferences.

You've subscribed!

ClashCityRocker · 13/12/2017 18:31

I think it's gonna be cold..


Based on no forecasting skills whatsoever, but just the fact that I won't have a lift to work until January so will be on the bike.

Report
RatOnnaStick · 13/12/2017 19:27

That picture looks like sleet for me Xmas Hmm. I'd rather have rain.

Report
OhYouBadBadKitten · 13/12/2017 19:54

It did pick it up this weekends weather early.

Anyone despairing at this point should realise that there is no point at all in trying to guess detail at the moment. This may be the beginning of a trend of models showing a snowy interlude, but if it is, we still have no idea of where snow/rain interfaces would lie. This is just one model run out of many, lots of the gfs runs are not showing this scenario.

OP posts:
Report
Please create an account

To comment on this thread you need to create a Mumsnet account.