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Weather

Forecast for May Day weekend?

78 replies

hillbilly · 22/04/2013 13:27

OYBBK of course this is directed to you (and anyone else!).....we are hoping to camp in Buckinghamshire and I have everything crossed for dry weather. What's the chance of that?

OP posts:

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OhYouBadBadKitten · 22/04/2013 13:37

well at the moment the models show the bastard weather has decided to treat us all with a plummet in temperatures at the weekend. Risk of frosts I'm afraid and much colder by day. On the plus side, at the moment it does look dry.

hillbilly · 22/04/2013 14:39

Hmmmm. That's not great!

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AmandinePoulain · 22/04/2013 14:42

Noooo!!! It's not fair! We cancelled our camping trip at Easter in france because of the damn snow, and I've booked to camp near Chessington that weekend to enjoy my last weekend off before going back to work from maternity leave!

IT'S NOT FAIR

hillbilly · 22/04/2013 15:10

So that's for Bank holiday weekend OYBBK, not this weekend right?

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OhYouBadBadKitten · 22/04/2013 17:21

oh hang on... you are right! sorry, thought the bank holiday was this weekend :(

digerd · 23/04/2013 10:10

S.Herts

It was so warm in my back garden at 9am, I decided to wear a cotton t-shirt with a thin knitted bolero on top to walk little dog, where it is not so sheltered and avoided the sunny side.

I was fine - hurray. Supposed to be 22 tomorrow ? before winter returns at weekend. More cloud than blue sky developed now

digerd · 23/04/2013 10:14

More blue sky and sunshine now. Must water my Camelia planted in the ground as seems to be struggling due to the long dry months since the snow.

fatsamsgrandslam · 23/04/2013 16:41

So is there still a chance the May Bank Holiday weekend weather will be dry and warm? We've got my daughter's christening on the 5th and I'd very much like to request weather like today's please....

digerd · 24/04/2013 17:45

Very warm and muggy atm,. It could at least rain in the night as pots now need watering and still not mended my hosepipe. Too tired to walk round with the watering can.

hillbilly · 24/04/2013 18:50

So, any sign yet of what the Bank holiday weekend will be like?

OP posts:

johnworf · 25/04/2013 17:58

We're camping in Warks end of May bank holiday (is that the same one the OP is asking about?) and would love to know if we're going to get at least dry weather.

Purlease say yes.

meglet · 27/04/2013 19:22

We need it to be sunny next weekend. I'm being thrifty and staying at home, if it's sunny I can chuck the kids in the garden.

OhYouBadBadKitten · 28/04/2013 09:48

Sorry, lots of real life!

Just going to have a check.

OhYouBadBadKitten · 28/04/2013 10:01

It's looking pretty unsettled which means that details for any particular day are going to be pretty sketchy at the moment and the models reflect that with differing solutions.

According to GFS Saturday doesn't look too bad, a bit showery really but then on Sunday a rather irritating low pressure is shown to the south of the UK which would bring rain and showers spreading in from the south west through Sunday and Monday. Pretty warm in parts of central eastern areas though.

ECMWF has a low pressure dominating northern UK on Saturday which would bring widespread wet or wettish weather and much cooler than the GFS model. It keeps this through the Sunday with the low sinking south.

UKMO only goes up to Saturday but has the low even further north and so the southern half would probably be fine and quite nice.

So as you can see, pretty impossible to forecast currently!

leesmum · 28/04/2013 18:53

Aww so you can't tell me what the weekend of the 11/12 may will be like? It's Ds1's first holy communion on the sun and I'm having everyone back to ours...would be nice to think we could all be outside boozing in the sun

OhYouBadBadKitten · 28/04/2013 19:03

sadly not leesmum, but bump me closer to the time. I hope you all have a lovely day!

leesmum · 28/04/2013 19:39

Will do and I'm sure it will be a special day whatever the weather x

hillbilly · 29/04/2013 14:48

Thanks OYBK, I'm on weather watch from now on and it's not looking too good!

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digerd · 29/04/2013 16:52

S.Herts.
Decent night temp last night @ +8, and lots of sun but the wind was annoyingly very cold this morning and still chilly this afternoon.

We have gorgeous frollicking lambs in the field behind me

fatsamsgrandslam · 30/04/2013 07:13

Thanks OYBBK! You've confirmed my fears and I've booked the local village hall for our party rather that have it in our garden. Think it will be a bit too chilly.

hillbilly · 30/04/2013 11:37

It's starting to look promising for the weekend in Bucks according to BBC and UK.weather. Dryish and around 15.....

OP posts:

digerd · 30/04/2013 12:33

S.Herts

It is the wind chill factor, though, here. Not so cold as yesterday was,

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OhYouBadBadKitten · 30/04/2013 12:56

GFS paints a happier picture today :) Not entirely dry, some showers for the northern half on Saturday and then some scattered showers for others on Sun/Mon. I think that if these happen they may get a little thundery in nature on Monday, but some warm temps especially for central england.

UKMO has it a bit more unsettled for the north on the saturday and not quite so warm overall.

ECMWF tends to keep the more settled and warmer weather to the SE and is the least positive of the three models.

Still, trending in the right direction!

OhYouBadBadKitten · 01/05/2013 07:53

Latest model runs....

GFS shows a gradient from the NW to the SE with the NW seeing the coolest dampest weather and the SE seeing the warmest driest weather (though not as warm as the models showed yesterday). Through the BHW it tends to dry up a bit more and warm up a bit more and Monday looks dry almost everywhere.

UKMO shows a similar picture.

ECMWF shows the low pressure to the north with more influence over the UK, pushing the pleasant weather further south.

lirael · 01/05/2013 08:19

We are camping near Lyme Regis from Sat - Mon. Any chance of some sun OYBBK? BBC promises a glimmer, but only 13 degrees, which is not warm enough for this fair weather camper... So annoying, as it's been lovely here in Somerset all week and we're promised 16 degrees today. 16! Time to break out the summer wardrobe.

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