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DH reckons its going to be a very cold Jan/Feb

(82 Posts)
LillethTheCat Tue 01-Jan-13 14:34:01

Is it true?

I dont know where he's read that, but he reckons we are in for a big freeze in a couple of weeks or so.

I dont know why Im particularly bothered, but I would just like to know.

AmberLeaf Sat 05-Jan-13 12:27:04

I have been wondering about this too, I have a lovely new scarf I was hoping to wear!

In truth Id like it to remain mild so I don't go bankrupt with the gas bill!

So cold and possible snow from 19th jan-ish?

GloriaSnow Sat 05-Jan-13 13:16:11

We've got 11.2C here (Leicester) and I've just spotted some pink tree blossom while we were out shopping. 'Tis all wrong ~ I have new winter boots to wear and DDs have a sledge sitting in the garage waiting to be used!

Netweather though are hinting at the possible change here.

OhYouBadBadKitten Sat 05-Jan-13 20:50:13

I'm afraid the models are being really irritating now. The latest GFS has backed away from cold in the forecastable future and the ensemble members seem to support that in general. But the ECM is going for cold rather strongly now in 10 days time.
Lets see what tomorrow brings, quite often the ECM is the first model to spot the first signs of change in the weather.

Waswondering Sat 05-Jan-13 22:29:07

OYBK - what do you think of tonight's 18Z GFS?

OhYouBadBadKitten Sat 05-Jan-13 22:58:15

Oh, better for next weekend! Looking much colder. After that its dodgy territory, the jet stream looks so feeble and wobbly, that I wouldn't like to call whether GFS is correct or not, it's not going to take much to shift it out of the way so whilst it looks rubbish a week on Monday I wouldn't place to much faith in it.

OhYouBadBadKitten Sun 06-Jan-13 09:55:30

Ok, we'll GFS has lost the cold for the coming weekend but has it back on for the 18th or so onwards and its a humdinger of a chart. If it came off as it stood (and remember how much things change) then there would be a lot of proper snow.

However the chart looks very very different from the ECMWF and there's not so much support from the GFS ensembles, so don't get too excited yet.

LillethTheCat Sun 06-Jan-13 11:19:57

Thanks for the update Kitten

Sparklingbrook Sun 06-Jan-13 13:12:31

I really don't want any snow now. It had it's chance over Christmas. sad

MegGriffin Sun 06-Jan-13 17:19:37

Watching with interest. I would love some.snow before spring.

mumat39 Sun 06-Jan-13 18:07:28

Come on snow. You know you want to ;)

We just need a proper winter.

I'm following the snow watch forum and there are lots of people trying not to get too excited in case it's another beast from the east non event. I haven't got a clue what all the jargon means and the particular discussion I'm lurking on was 100 pages so a new one was started. I've read it all and still haven't got a clue grin

Thanks Kitten. smile

tak1ngchances Sun 06-Jan-13 20:42:34

<marking place>

GloriaSnow Sun 06-Jan-13 20:46:56

Some websites seem certain about things cooling down from the middle of this week. Several are giving us in the Midlands a 'high' of 1 or 2C next Sunday, with temperatures struggling to get above that beyond next weekend ~ that will probably all change though as it's a bit far ahead! But here for the moment are what theWeatherOutlook and netweather think.

SpottyBagOfTumble Sun 06-Jan-13 20:48:03

Also marking place so I can learn from more of kittens explanations!

SunshineOutdoors Sun 06-Jan-13 20:54:31

We're holidaying in the Yorkshire Dales in feb. always looks beautiful in the snow <crosses fingers then hopes that doesn't backfire and we can still make it over there>

Watching thread with interest smile

mumat39 Sun 06-Jan-13 21:00:00

Hey Gloria. Love the name change!


GloriaSnow Sun 06-Jan-13 21:15:25

It was changed in the hope that there might be some festive snow at Christmas but I guess while there's a chance of the white stuff now, the name can stay!

SpottyBagOfTumble Sun 06-Jan-13 22:02:58

So the ensembles linked to as the 850hpa temps. As I understand it, the hap temps need to generally be under -5 for snow ,but the 500-1000 hap has to be under 528 dams? (From another page on same site) so, is ther a graph of the expected air pressures?

SpottyBagOfTumble Sun 06-Jan-13 22:20:02

That would be air pressure at 850hpa!

Just tried to read about jet streams and it did my head in! Must try harder! Lol

SpottyBagOfTumble Sun 06-Jan-13 22:32:30

Also, why does. A wider scatter of the ensembles mean it is more likely to be cold?

SpottyBagOfTumble Sun 06-Jan-13 22:38:39

Actually, this is the graph I was looking for, right?;sess=

Then can combine with the ensembles?

SpottyBagOfTumble Sun 06-Jan-13 22:40:14

An d I have just figured out where the colours come from on the snow risk chart! Duh!

Oh, and sorry everyone for withering on to myself! Ignore me!

OhYouBadBadKitten Sun 06-Jan-13 22:46:04

Don't worry smile will come back to you tomorrow afternoon.

OhYouBadBadKitten Mon 07-Jan-13 07:47:14

Well, the trend to colder weather seems to take place towards the end of next weekend according to this mornings models.

StillSlightlyCrumpled Mon 07-Jan-13 08:02:18

Watching this thread with a worried face. I'm having my fortieth birthday party the weekend if the 26th, & have friends/ family travelling a long way. Please no snow for the midlands that weekend.
<wonders what I was thinking of booking a bloody party in January! It always snows on my birthday.>

Sparklingbrook Mon 07-Jan-13 08:03:28

I'm in the Midlands too Still, I will join you in the 'no snow' camp.

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