Can you assess possible GCSE passes from KS3?

[Madmog]

We've just had our daughter's end of KS3 targets ahead of parents evening. Is it possible to work out from these what she could be capable of achieving at GCSE (assuming she continues to improve as expected and teachers will generally agree on her level). Her targets are English 7.25, Maths 7.75, Science 7.5, Art 6.5, French 7, Games 6, Geography 7.25, History 6.75, IT 6, Life Skills 6.75, Music 6, RE 6.5 and DT 6.75. Funnily enough, the two subjects she loves are music and art which she is achieving lower levels at, so it's these I'm wondering if she stands a chance of getting a GCSE in.

[trinity0097]

As a general rule of thumb is a child achieves a good (or better) Level 5 in Yr 9 then if they work hard they will achieve a C or above in GCSE. To be safe though Level 6 plus is what I would be looking for,

[noblegiraffe]

Maths you would probably expect an A from a 7.8 (for an A* you'd be hoping for a level 8). But the problem is that Gove keeps shifting the boundaries and making the exams harder (even though they are to be scrapped) which makes it difficult to say with any confidence any more.

Don't know about other subjects, I think the same level would usually predict a higher GCSE grade in English and Science than in maths, back when we had proper KS3 SATs the data showed there was usually less progress between KS3 and 4 in maths than in other subjects.

[noblegiraffe]

If she's in Y7 she won't be sitting GCSEs and no one knows what on earth will be going on when she gets to Y11.

[Madmog]

Thanks for your replies - sorry, I forgot to mention she is in Year 7. I know we are a long way off from final exams (of whatever kind!), but she has always loved music and art, so at the mo would be great if she can pass an exam in that alongside English and Maths which are always good to have. Not sure how long we'll get with tutor tomorrow, so great to have some prior knowledge.