Have been googling John Redwood to see what his position is about a possible pact, and as far as I can make out he has not said that he wants one. He seems to be saying that UKIP should work with the tories and as UKIP have little chance of getting many MPs, they should basically go along with the Tory Eurosceptic position. I don't think this is realistic. I think this is trying to have your cake and eat it.
Here is an article from Oct 2012 where nothing firm is stated about a pact. It starts by quoting John Redwood.
"Eurosceptics must try to win over those who were "broadly in sympathy" with their cause but who were put off by the "apparent extreme language some use and the extreme conduct that some undertake...We need to build bridges rather than destroy them."
He added: "Now is the time for Eurosceptics to come together and stop arguing about what group or sect they belong to...Now is the time to set out the case in moderate and sensible language."
Asked about the prospect of the Conservatives and UKIP co-operating at the next election, Mr Redwood said that "given the leaders of the two parties that's not looking very likely at the moment".
Some Tory MPs fear the apparent surge in public support for UKIP will be enough to rob their party of an overall majority at the next election and UKIP leader Nigel Farage has floated the possibility of an electoral pact - if David Cameron agrees to an in/out referendum.
But Mr Cameron has dismissed such talk, describing UKIP as a "waste of time".
'Fooling themselves'
Professor Tim Congdon, UKIP's economic spokesman, said Mr Cameron's promise to stand up for British interests in Europe - including his guarantee of a vote on the Lisbon Treaty - had turned "to jelly".
"The referendum has to be in or out. If David Cameron and William Hague think by promising a referendum after the election on some silly little negotiation they have had and that is somehow going to neutralise UKIP then they are fooling themselves as well as the people".
Hurting the Tories at the ballot box was the best way to get a referendum, he said, adding his party "intended to cause as much damage as possible to other parties so they wake up and listen to the British people".
www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-19872436
In the Redwood article you linked to, Redwood is basing his predictions on what will happen on what happened in the past. I think he has misunderstood what is going on. Five years ago, the BNP outpolled UKIP in many areas, but not anymore. In teh past 5 years there has been a transformation in UKIP's fortunes. Why?
In my opinion, it is not to do with Europe or immigration. It is really to do with 'intense dissatisfatcion' with the 3 established parties. To many people, it has now become clear that they are all in it together. They are the same type of people with teh same type of views. They are all Oxbridge, most of them PPEs, many of them millionaires and nearly all greens and global warmists. They are part of a metropolitan elite which shares the same vision of the world. Big Society is a Marxist Saul Alinsky view of the world
"This plan is directly based on the successful community organising movement established by Saul Alinsky in the United States and has successfully trained generations of community organisers, including President Obama."
That statement, which beggars belief even in the political fairground we now inhabit, is not taken from some far-out Trotskyite samizdat, but from the official Conservative Party introduction to David Cameron’s Big Idea – the creation of a “Neighbourhood army” of 5,000 full-time community organisers to implement his grotesque fantasy called “Big Society”. If you ever doubted that, under Cameron, the Conservative Party has become ideologically and culturally deracinated, has lost its political compass and is occupied by an alien clique that has disfigured it beyond recognition, here is the incontestable evidence.
blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/geraldwarner/100032381/david-camerons-big-society-is-a-grotesque-fantasy-inspired-by-leftist-subversive-saul-alinsky/
This is not Conservatism as the people knew it. This is not Thatcher and Tebbit. This is polar bear, husky hugging, hoodie hugging modernising metropolitan elitism.
That is why half of the Tory Party's membership has left. The people had no choice, they had to vote for modernisers, the metroplitan elite or for Labour, and the Guardian and BBC pretended that the people were happy with that.
But what has changed in the past 5 years, is that the people have had enough and they want change.
The Euro elections will show that. The metropolitan elite believbe that teh people will fall back in line afterwards and carrying on voting for the modernisers because of our electoral first past the post system that does not reflect the views of the people. But I think the metropolitan elite is wrong. The buzzing of their rooftop wind turbines has fooled them into not understanding what is happening.
'I hate the notion of pacts, it's dangerous and anti-democratic.'
I disagree. An upfront, open pact is democratic because the people have a choice and can choose if they want it.
I think it is in the interests of UKIP to make a pact because at the moment that is the only way that they can gain substantial MPs. If they make a pact, and if they win many seats, then they can change politics forever by introducing proportional representation and referenda which will reflect the view of the people in a democracy. Then we will see how popular the metropolitan elite really are.
Politics is about change and making things better and listening to the people. To achieve these goals, compromises have to be made and pacts are part of that.
Tony Benn was in favour of referenda and so are UKIP. Tony Benn was against EU membership and so are UKIP. Tony Benn wasgainst proportional representation, but UKIP is not against it.
A pact is the first step to change politics.
UKIP is not stuffed full of elites and PPEs and think tank policy wonks and phoney "charity" types. It is full of ordinary people and it is giving a voice to ordinary people.
A pact is the way to change politics forever and to give real representation to the people.
Politics has changed. Five years ago, UKIP were nowhere, now they are everywhere and they will only grow stronger if they carry on listening to the people.