I seriously believe that I have heard more political mistruths in this General Election than any other – and one of the latest is Labour ‘scaremongering’ about a right wing coalition including UKIP, WHICH IS VIRTUALLY IMPOSSIBLE, based on several reasons – the main one being the UKIP vote itself.
- UKIP take 2-3 Conservative votes to 1 Labour vote in contested marginal seats.
- UKIP currently polling 12% to 15%, inflicted huge electoral damage on the Conservatives in 2010, with just 3% on the General Election votes, with post election analysis showing that around 26,000 UKIP votes across around 20 odd key marginals, made the difference between a Conservative government and a Coalition, each fighting their own political corner.
www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/7693877/General-Election-2010-Ukip-challenge-cost-Tories-a-Commons-majority.html
- Conservatives due to voter numbers within English electoral boundaries, need to be around several percent ahead of the opinion polls in 2015 to potentially win the same amount of seats as Labour, as evidenced by the 2005 and 2010 General Election results;
In 2005 Labour with 35% of the popular vote had a 66 seat MAJORITY government, 2010 Conservatives with 36% of the vote had a 20 seat MINORITY government.
So even if Labour loses 53 Westminster parliamentary seats in Scotland (where the Conservative ‘panda’ has one seat), Labour is still likely to be the LARGEST PARTY and form the next 2015 government thanks to the SNP.
And this is where Labour disingenuously tells everyone the Conservatives are SNP ‘scaremongering'; but what do the current FACTS show, using the Poll of Polls Sky News took the current opinion polls and turned them into Westminster seats.
Conservatives;.277 seats
Labour;...........277 seats
SNP:................53 seats
Lib Dems;..........18 seats
UKIP..................2 seats
Other;..............18 seats (including Plaid Cymru and Greens)
So as Westminster has around 650 M.P.’s and a functional UK government would therefore need around 325 MP’s , can anyone spot the Miliband mistruth and misdirection in pretending that a Conservative and UKIP party (with or without the Lib Dems) could form a majority government and put through any legislation?
Especially when the SNP, Plaid Cymru and Greens have said that they will not support a Conservative government NO MATTER WHAT they propose?
Even if the Conservatives were self serving tossers like the Labour Party in Westminster and Holyrood for years and OPPOSED EVERYTHING; every one of Miliband’s 1970’s style failed socialilisim/big state policies, shared in ‘values’ by the SNP and Plaid Cymru nationalist vote, WOULD GET THROUGH and reverse the economic/investment/jobs/deficit reduction recovery.