When (if they do) will Easyjet cancel?

They may not, if it means they have to refund you. They may say you could still go, and isolate afterwards - they don't care that's not practical for many people. They will only cancel if enough customers do (paying their fees) that it's not cost effective to run the flight for the remainder.

I have had 3 easyJet flights cancelled recently. Waiting on the last one. I won't be travelling anyway.
As the new Spain advice only came in on Saturday and you've lost the free change option anyway, I'd wait and see what they do.
Wrt refunds- 12-18 months is what the website was saying last time I looked.

Easyjet sent our refund from late May in just under 2 months. They were very late cancelling the flight though.

But you CAN go, that's the frustrating part. Easyjet won't refund you if the flight is still running.

Nothing to say to offer any assistance other than I am in completely the same boat as you. Due to fly out to Tenerife on 4th aug. Flights still running and insurance won't cover if I go. Damned if we do, damned if we don't.

Also, just to add that easyJet have scrapped their flight change fee therefore you could reschedule your flight to a different date and only pay any difference in fares.

I am the same OP but Ryanair. I am going to lose £895 it's sickening. No sign of any cancellations at all.

Easyjet now says you can change any Spain flights for no cost, even if it's within 14 days.
Ryanair are less helpful.

You're not alone. When did you book? Last September we booked a package to Majorca leaving next week with Lastminute. Tried to cancel but that would cost the same as paying for the whole holiday so we said we'd wait and hope that they'd cancel it. They won't. Flights (British Airways) are still going ahead and the hotel is still open.

We should (if I've read everything right) be covered by the Package Travel Regulations, which state that you are entitled to ask the booking agent (Last Minute for us) for a full refund if the FCO advises against travel to your destination.

I have requested a refund outlining these regulations and I'm waiting to see what they say. They've already told me they won't refund as the flights are still going, but that is rubbish. My contract is with Last Minute and the FCO have advised against travel. This is the basis I'm asking for a refund.

Don't cancel or they're not legally obliged to give you a penny back.

If holiday dates have already passed you can do a chargeback if you paid work debit cats or Section 75 if you paid on a credit card. PayPal seems to have been refunding customers so that's worth a try if you paid that way. Good luck. It's shit.