'No reason to think Covid will become more virulent’/'It could be like common cold by Spring'

(374 Posts)
GoldFrankensteinAndGrrr Thu 23-Sep-21 10:51:16

Some positive news from people who know what they're talking about this morning.

As far as the common cold claim is concerned, there was the caveat that we have to get through winter first (wouldn't fit on my screenshot but that's all that it said, no predictions of catastrophe or anything).

Yes I know there are still vulnerable people whom covid could affect badly (I'm one of them), but this is good news. Although I'm sure someone will be along soon to tell me it's not grin

OP’s posts: |
Mindymomo Thu 23-Sep-21 11:22:58

I certainly like the line “we are over the worst”, I certainly hope so. I also think we are already there regarding colds, with so many having them with the same symptoms as covid, but not testing positive

bumbleymummy Thu 23-Sep-21 11:43:44

Great to finally see a bit of positivity

ShaneTheThird Thu 23-Sep-21 11:45:32

Fab news if true and actually works out like this. smile

Warhertisuff Thu 23-Sep-21 11:59:38

We'll only get to that point if we don't go all in and make futile attempts at suppression that will just prolong the time we get to that point..,, I'm thinking of the St Augustine of Canterbury High School in St Helens in the news for reintroducing strict Covid measures - way to go if you want Covid to still be a problem come exam season hmm

GoldFrankensteinAndGrrr Thu 23-Sep-21 12:03:41

ShaneTheThird

Fab news if true and actually works out like this. smile

This is my thinking.

No guarantees of anything of course - however I am heartened and encouraged that it's two eminent experts making these statements, as opposed to Some Bloke On Twitter grin

OP’s posts: |
TheKeatingFive Thu 23-Sep-21 12:05:13

Great to see. Thank the lord for the vaccines.

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GoldFrankensteinAndGrrr Thu 23-Sep-21 12:09:58

TheKeatingFive

Great to see. Thank the lord for the vaccines.

A billion percent this. This coming winter may be difficult (though more due to rising fuel prices/UC cuts/food shortages than Covid, most likely) but it will be nothing like the awfulness of last winter, Because Vaccines. So many lives saved.

OP’s posts: |
mrshoho Thu 23-Sep-21 12:11:59

Really really good news. 👍

DobbyTheHouseElk Thu 23-Sep-21 12:12:09

Very positive news

MossyBottom Thu 23-Sep-21 12:13:06

It is reassuring. Does less virulent mean less transmissible or less severe?

BarefootHippieChick Thu 23-Sep-21 12:13:36

I definitely like the term 'over the worst'. Hoping that next year will definitely feel more normal than the last 2 years have been

Aposterhasnoname Thu 23-Sep-21 12:15:32

I remember seeing a quote from Sarah Gilbert way back when the vaccine first went into human trials and early results were good, in which she said that it was highly unlikely that the virus could mutate enough to fully evade the vaccine, because then it would no longer be a coronavirus, and wouldn’t be able to bind to human cells. I’ve been going on about this ever since to general disbelief, so I’m glad to see her saying much the same thing again.

I’m sure our resident doom sayers will be along shortly to tell us why this world renowned vaccinologist is wrong.

Aposterhasnoname Thu 23-Sep-21 12:16:28

Warhertisuff

We'll only get to that point if we don't go all in and make futile attempts at suppression that will just prolong the time we get to that point..,, I'm thinking of the St Augustine of Canterbury High School in St Helens in the news for reintroducing strict Covid measures - way to go if you want Covid to still be a problem come exam season hmm

This!

TheKeatingFive Thu 23-Sep-21 12:27:24

I remember seeing a quote from Sarah Gilbert way back when the vaccine first went into human trials and early results were good, in which she said that it was highly unlikely that the virus could mutate enough to fully evade the vaccine, because then it would no longer be a coronavirus

Francois Balloux says something similar, that vaccine evading mutation would only take place over a long period of time and bit by bit, in that there’d be plenty of lead time for updating and distribution of vaccines.

Inastatus Thu 23-Sep-21 12:31:39

This is brilliant news 😀

QueenofKattegat Thu 23-Sep-21 12:34:43

Also in the news that cases, overall, are down 22% in a week.

MarshaBradyo Thu 23-Sep-21 12:34:47

Nice clever people agreeing with each other good to see ;

I’m happy to read that op

littlegiant Thu 23-Sep-21 12:54:16

Well. Can I just say, today is my birthday but reading this has made my day more than anything else. Thank you for sharing!

Phyllis321 Thu 23-Sep-21 12:59:30

Hooray! Please let it be true...

CloudPop Thu 23-Sep-21 13:00:17

Good to hear some positive views ! Just waiting for the long covid brigade to chip in.

NannyAndJohn Thu 23-Sep-21 13:20:13

Pretty sure I saw the exact same article this time last year.

TheKeatingFive Thu 23-Sep-21 13:22:01

Pretty sure I saw the exact same article this time last year.

Course you did Nanny.

And of course nothing has changed since then, nothing at all.

NannyAndJohn Thu 23-Sep-21 13:23:58

TheKeatingFive

*I remember seeing a quote from Sarah Gilbert way back when the vaccine first went into human trials and early results were good, in which she said that it was highly unlikely that the virus could mutate enough to fully evade the vaccine, because then it would no longer be a coronavirus*

Francois Balloux says something similar, that vaccine evading mutation would only take place over a long period of time and bit by bit, in that there’d be plenty of lead time for updating and distribution of vaccines.

Balloux doesn't exactly have the greatest track record.

TheKeatingFive Thu 23-Sep-21 13:25:22

Balloux doesn't exactly have the greatest track record.

He speaks plenty of sense as far as I can see.

I know you like them doomier though.

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