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Daily numbers(4 Posts)
Why are the daily numbers of deaths still so high?
We have been in lockdown since March, and the numbers are still high.
Even new cases are high, I dnt understand, when will they start going down?
I just want to hear something positive, considering we are in week 11 I thought it would nearly be over by now.
I wonder the same.
A jump in deaths today too - I will be interested to see what happens over the next week or so.
The data has to be taken with a pinch of salt - weekly dips, Tues/Weds are higher because they catch up from the weekend, bank holidays all have an effect.
I track on the NHS website which reports hospital deaths on a chart to show deaths on the day they occurred instead of the day they are reported. It’s still going down, though it has slowed/plateaued recently.
The goal posts have moved multiple times with regards to cases and fatality numbers. You’re not looking at a sets of data measured consistently.
At the beginning of lockdown you were unlikely to be tested unless you had a particular travel history or presented to hospital but now it’s much easier to get a test. Deaths were only counted if they happened in hospital but are now being counted from any setting. It’s also important to understand that these can take a long time from the actual date of death to officially being declared as a covid death - months in some cases.
NHS England release their own figures which detail from what date the deaths announced that day actually happened. Although it’s only hospital deaths it gives a much clearer picture of the decline since it’s a consistent measurement.
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