So yesterday UK government provided a 'helpful' graphic depicting the stages to relaxing social distancing (sorry I can't manage to copy it). It shows Rnought increase to 1 - the red phase - then decreasing thereafter. It has 3 stages with provisional dates. The first this week, the second on 1st June, the 3rd on 1st July.
BUT...
Rnought didn't increase to 1, it leapt up way, way higher, and it's taken drastic measures to get it now somewhere indefinable and unstable just below 1.
The graphic makes the assumption that more people returning to work and relaxing some social distancing measures now is going to result in a continued fall in Rnought; that starting to open schools and other shops in June will reduce it further, and that potentially allowing some cinemas, pubs and restaurants to open in July will continue the same trajectory.
Really???
Surely the opposite is more likely to happen. That's what they are seeing in other countries. What happened to following the science? The graphic seems like such a phoney piece of propaganda. Even if people followed the new rules exactly (which they won't) that trajectory of decreasing Rnought is never going to happen. Is it?
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Covid
The Phoney Graph
33 replies
venusandmars · 11/05/2020 15:39
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