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Why only 135 recovered from the virus?

(9 Posts)
Allypacca Fri 10-Apr-20 12:17:53

It's been the same number for weeks now. Can anyone tell me why the number of recoveries isn't changing. I'm puzzled.

OP’s posts: |
Saisong Fri 10-Apr-20 12:19:50

Because they are not counting them. They knew it was an unreliable statistic so stopped updating.

Redcrayons Fri 10-Apr-20 12:21:29

I read on the stats thread that you need two tests to prove your clear of the virus. I suppose at the current time, it’s just not a priority.

Kitchendoctor Fri 10-Apr-20 12:23:01

They haven’t got capacity to test everyone with the virus, so I guess they’re not testing people to be able to count them as recovered either.

negomi90 Fri 10-Apr-20 12:25:56

What does recovery mean? Out of intensive care? A lot of the infected don't go to intensive care and stay on the ward - so those numbers will always be lower.
Discharged from hospital? Feeling completely back to normal? Neither are easy to measure.
Negative swabs after a positive swab? We aren't doing that, once you get a positive swab result, that's it. The tests are being prioritised to diagnose sick people, not confirm recovery.
We don't have a good measure for recovery, thus that number is meaningless.

Allypacca Fri 10-Apr-20 12:47:43

Thank you for explaining that. smile

OP’s posts: |
Kitchendoctor Fri 10-Apr-20 12:50:37

There’s a global definition of recovered, which from memory involves 2 negative tests and 10 days without fever.

mindutopia Fri 10-Apr-20 12:55:10

There's also just an incredibly long lag between becoming sick and 'recovering'. Of friends who have been ill, they have been ill for probably about 2 weeks (like desperately ill and unable to get out of bed - these are the 'mild' cases). Some with more serious cases could be in ICU for 3 weeks. Looking at the numbers from Wuhan in the early weeks, only about 1/3 had 'recovered' 4-6 weeks in. Recovery physically just takes a long time, even if someone is still counting.

TheCanterburyWhales Fri 10-Apr-20 16:08:40

Those figures aren't updated. Neither are the "seriously ill" ones. They were stuck at 10 for a week which is why a lot of posters were given abuse by the Covid deniers. They see a number, they believe it. Even when doctors and nurses were posting saying "that can't be right, we have more than 20 in ICU in our hospital"

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