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Serious answers only.. how long do you think the lockdown will last?

(142 Posts)
feefee322 Thu 26-Mar-20 23:17:58

How long will lockdown last?? Only 3 weeks?! Were meant to move house sad

Thekindyoufindinasecondhand Thu 26-Mar-20 23:18:52

10-12 weeks

Bouledeneige Thu 26-Mar-20 23:19:43

June or July till some relaxation and potentially it will get tougher again through the winter. A year overall?

StirCrazed Thu 26-Mar-20 23:22:11

However long it takes for the majority to decide they would rather just isolate the vulnerable and get on with life.
I'm interested to know how long.that is.
It'll be on-off on-off anyway. Initially maybe 3 months? Next peak as schools go back, few weeks after that.

NewIdeasToday Thu 26-Mar-20 23:22:23

12 weeks

RhubarbTea Thu 26-Mar-20 23:22:55

In my opinion it will be relaxed in early July. There will be 6-10 weeks of less stringent measures but still social distancing, hand gel a gogo, some things not open etc etc and then cases will begin to ramp up in early autumn and they will implement another lockdown again.

Just my own thoughts.

dorisrainbow Thu 26-Mar-20 23:24:12

6 months

Sosounhappy Thu 26-Mar-20 23:24:23

China are opening again there is hope

chipsandgin Thu 26-Mar-20 23:25:25

Maybe 3 or 4 months so late summer, an optimistic early August maybe?

Babyroobs Thu 26-Mar-20 23:25:39

I think 12 weeks.

InanOcadoQueue Thu 26-Mar-20 23:25:50

Same as Bouledeneige

RJnomore1 Thu 26-Mar-20 23:26:00

3-6 months is what the minimum shielding operation is expected to last.

SpongeCake23 Thu 26-Mar-20 23:26:47

Some are saying it’ll still be social distancing even with the less stringent measures, does that still mean not seeing family members?

SittingAround1 Thu 26-Mar-20 23:27:50

Not sure, but I don't think schools will go back before September.

I really hope we can go on our already booked summer holiday.

Dissimilitude Thu 26-Mar-20 23:30:02

Probably 3 months of this, then cautious relaxation of some restrictions, with tightening of cases rise again.

If widespread serological tests become available then we can relax more quickly, as we can identify who has had it and is therefore immune, and better detect and apply regionally specific strategies.

defthand Thu 26-Mar-20 23:31:41

The science-y answer is it depends on quickly we flatten the curve, and it’s possible things may “unlock” differentially based on region.

But my gut instinct is that it’ll be under a month. I don’t think Boris and the Tories will want to shut down the economy too long. Once they roll these antibody tests out to the community (in a few weeks?) I expect the government to use them to get people promptly back to work. The big question is just how many mild and asymptomatic cases there are have been out there. If these tests validate the idea that it’s 9:1 asymptomatic: symptomatic, then the mortality rate is much lower and threat perception will drop.

littlebitwooway Thu 26-Mar-20 23:32:03

Did no one hear Boris speech that we will get this under control in 12 weeks? 12 weeks. Get the date in your diary.

Gobbolinothewitchscat Thu 26-Mar-20 23:32:31

6 - 9 months with a bit of relaxation over summer

littlebitwooway Thu 26-Mar-20 23:33:07

Hoping it will be less.

feefee322 Thu 26-Mar-20 23:33:09

I can do 12 weeks... any longer and we won't financially survive.

I've already had the virus too! Why can't the vulnerable just isolate?! Thai is going to be so costly for the economy sad

I'm so worried about money

feefee322 Thu 26-Mar-20 23:35:27

I feel sorry for those who are vulnerable but how are people surviving who are self employed?!

StinkyWizzleteets Thu 26-Mar-20 23:38:02

* Why can't the vulnerable just isolate?! Thai is going to be so costly for the economy*
Because they need to financially survive too. Successive governments with the support of society have demonised the sick and vulnerable now you want to keep them locked away cos you’re alright jack?

StirCrazed Thu 26-Mar-20 23:39:01

Makes more sense to support 80% of their wages than 80% of everyones

PersonaNonGarter Thu 26-Mar-20 23:39:19


What is your sector OP?

Thekindyoufindinasecondhand Thu 26-Mar-20 23:42:30

OP I'm self employed, I have zero wage coming in and am absolutely panicking, but, I can't just assume that if the vunerable people stay inside this would all go away.
It's other people within our community who have spread this virus to other people already, including vunerable parents or grandparents etc.
It's a bit late in the day now to try and lock all the vunerable people away and get everyone back to work. That ship has sailed unfortunately.

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