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Does anyone know the actual odds of baby arriving on the due date?

(33 Posts)
sleepycat Wed 09-Jul-08 09:46:10

Message withdrawn at poster's request.

FrannyandZooey Wed 09-Jul-08 09:49:44

oh someone told me yesterday! I think it was 7% or something ludicrous
will try to check

littlelapin Wed 09-Jul-08 09:50:22

Message withdrawn at poster's request.

lulumama Wed 09-Jul-08 09:50:37

5 % IIRC correctly arrive on their EDD.

most arrive around 41 weeks

reethi96 Wed 09-Jul-08 09:51:13

I don't know of anyone who ended up having the baby on the due date. I found it really odd that you have to book into the maternity unit as if you were giving birth on the due date.

SoupKitchen Wed 09-Jul-08 09:53:04

dd arrived on her due date

FrannyandZooey Wed 09-Jul-08 09:53:08

I was due last Friday LL
I don't think my body knows how to go into spontaneous labour

lulumama Wed 09-Jul-08 09:54:11

franny ! stop that negative vibe at once <<stern>> shall i recommend some sex and nipple stim? grin

long baths, relaxation, visualisation..

<<whispers>> DD born on her due date. <,runs>>

AggiePanther Wed 09-Jul-08 09:55:48

It's 5% for due day I think ..this link shows odds of arriving in each week

Mercy Wed 09-Jul-08 09:56:16

Ds was born on his due date - midwife told me the figure was around 8%

Franny, I cannot believe you are due, let alone overdue!

littlelapin Wed 09-Jul-08 09:59:22

Message withdrawn at poster's request.

WarmFuzzy Wed 09-Jul-08 10:00:11

I think about 70% come after due date.

sleepycat Wed 09-Jul-08 10:02:19

Message withdrawn at poster's request.

WarmFuzzy Wed 09-Jul-08 10:02:57

According to this "Only 4 in 100 women will deliver on the due date provided by the doctor". Don't know how un/reliable it is though.

JonesTheSteam Wed 09-Jul-08 10:03:33

Blimey - DD was born on her due date - never realised the odds were that slim!!!!

GooseyLoosey Wed 09-Jul-08 10:06:10

Both mine arrived on their due date. For some reason, it never occured to me that they wouldn't.

ILikeToMoveItMoveIt Wed 09-Jul-08 10:07:30

I remember readnig 4% somewhere recently.

I know a lady who had both of her dc on their EDD envy

ButterflyMcQueen Wed 09-Jul-08 10:41:11


thanks sleepy for this!

hanaflowerisnothana Wed 09-Jul-08 10:45:19

Message withdrawn at poster's request.

JoyS Wed 09-Jul-08 11:36:16

Was in labour on DD's due date, had her 5:30am the next day. Midwife said 3% come on the due date.

I've read that if you have very regular cycles (ie 28 days) the baby is more likely to come on or close to the EDD.

sweetkitty Wed 09-Jul-08 11:47:03

I've had one 2 weeks early and one 2 weeks late surely this time I am due on on time (tomorrow).

OurHamsterisevil Wed 09-Jul-08 20:43:43

I heard it was 5%. But DS2 did arrive on his date. I love that boy grin

Maria2007 Thu 10-Jul-08 18:35:42

The Christopher Small graph is very interesting (thanks AggiePanther for sending the link). According to that graph- granted, it's a mid-80s graph, but why should things be any different today?- the vast majority of babies arrive between 39-41 weeks. But there's a veyr high chance at 38+ weeks as well, which is encouraging for us waiting!

Haylstones Thu 10-Jul-08 18:48:21

I had v irregular cycles and went into labour on the due dates both times...
Not much of a scientific claim though!

franke Thu 10-Jul-08 18:52:15

All 3 of mine came on their edd. Actually I lie, ds2 arrived 15 minutes before his due date! I'm the only person I know whose kids arrived punctually - all other babies I know were late.

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