Christmas weather forecast thread.

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

Starts tomorrow will be wildly inaccurate this far out of course, but tomorrow Christmas eve comes into gfs range. Hoorah!

[GloriaSmud]

Yay, a Christmas forecast thread. I've been watching the date get closer with each model run, trying to get some idea what might happen!

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

Christmas Eve just scrapes on to the far end of GFS now.

Reminder for newbies to my forecasts. I'm strictly amateur, do get things wrong quite frequently, please don't rely on my forecasts for any decisions you make.

Plus at this range its going to be entirely wrong!

Christmas Eve According to GFS looks dreadfully wet across much of the UK. Mild.

[RatOnnaStick]

Bleurgh. Mild and wet. Christmas should be sunny, very cold and crisp with a hoar frost [santa]

[SagaNorensLeatherTrousers]

Mild and wet. Hmph.

[whojamaflip]

Wonderful - that's means slogging through the mud to feed the cows and sheep Christmas morning would much prefer a hard frost......

[howtorebuild]

I like mild , not so keen on wet.

[SideOrderofSprouts]

miild and wet. Humph. Not christmas weather at all.

[Toraleistripe]

HATE this mild weather. My bulbs are coming up and saw blossom in trees today FFS!

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

If its any consolation the latest model run has generally switched to cold and wet (snow over higher ground 'up north')

[Toraleistripe]

Ooh good. I am up North!

[zombiesarecoming]

Just need it to switch to very cold on the east coast so we can have a bit of snow

Will be watching with interest and crossed fingers

[howtorebuild]

Cold and wet .

[patterkiller]

Let it snow. Just for a bit. Just between 9 and 10 Christmas Eve.

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

I'm only looking at the operational run this morning (rather than the spread of possibilities), a little tight for time.

Christmas Eve Cool and damp in the south, cold and wet in the north except over hilly ground where it may be snow. Snow more likely in the north of Scotland.

Christmas Day starts off mild wet in the south, cold 'up north' with a significant frost in Scotland.

[BlackeyedSusan]

I like mild. we did not put the heating on until the 22nd of Nov. we have had 5 days since when we have not had the heating on, (four in a row over the weekend , mon and yesterday.) fabulous.

[RatOnnaStick]

Mild isn't so bad but wet and mild is just horrible. Damp and cold is crap too. It was lovely and crisp this morning. I had to defrost the car, first time in a while. 1° at 8.30. lovely.

[ThruUlikeAshortcut]

Madeline I was coming on here to say the same! Last week I noticed a Cherry Blossom and magnolia tree coming into blossom, then this morning some daffodils

[Perihelion]

Am bored of wet now. Would quite like cold. Would actually love totally benign weather on Xmas eve as have to travel on Xmas eve to Fife from Edinburgh. With no bridge and the schools finishing late I don't need shite weather to complicate things. Snow on boxing day would be nice.
I'm sure some says recently have been warmer than we had in the "summer".

[Perihelion]

Days.......

[Toraleistripe]

daffodils? FFS weather sort yourself out!

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

Again, just the operational run of gfs this morning. (but I've had a peek at the spaghetti plots and it does seem to be a cold outlier.)

Christmas Eve cold. Sub zero 'up north', some sleet or snow showers.

Christmas day cold and mostly dry.

Boxing day early hours Some really sharp frosts.

So there we go, entirely different from yesterday's forecast! As I say it does seem to be a cold outlier though.

[leesmum]

Thanks Kitten fingers crossed for a snowy Christmas

[Sallycinnamum]

Ooh that looks encouraging!

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

lol! I'm rather sceptical as it is such a huge change from yesterdays model.

[GloriaSmud]

I think that model run was the weather equivalent of a message board troll ~ comes along to shake things up a bit, then disappears and everything goes back to how it was!
(nice if it happened though ~ cold/frosty would be nicer than the grey/wet/mild stuff we've got at the moment)