Another severe storm 2nd/3rd November?

(305 Posts)

Quite possible I'm afraid.

Very early days in forecasting land but it has been showing in the models for a couple of days already.

GFS takes a deep low across northern scotland which would bring gales (severe??) to southern Scotland and northern England.

ECMWF and UKMO have it less deep but further south and not causing nearly so many issues.

NAVGEM brings possibly severe gales to England

GFS spotted last nights storm very early on and actually wasnt a bad forecast. We need to keep an eye on the situation.

17leftfeet Mon 28-Oct-13 15:08:31

Ah but this one will never make the news as it affects Scotland and northern England rather than the centre of the universe that we all know is London

wink

OddBoots Mon 28-Oct-13 15:08:45

Fingers crossed this one turns out to be nothing dangerous.

oh please dont 17leftfeet - I always do my best to treat storms according to strength and impact rather than location.

Lets see what happens objectively and we can compare notes after the storm.

BiscuitsAreMyDownfall Mon 28-Oct-13 15:21:09

I saw something mentioned on FB about possible storms this coming weekend for the top half of the UK. Im waiting and seeing as its still early days in weather isnt it?

Its really early days and its very possible it might not be the top half that gets it if it happens. at the moment its trends we are looking for.

Selks Mon 28-Oct-13 15:36:52

Oh no sad

Weegiemum Mon 28-Oct-13 15:41:28

17left is right though - I saw press reports saying last nights "sub-hurricane force" storm was "the worst since 1987".

I reckon that in the last 26 years I lived in the Outer Hebrides for 10 years and we had force 10/11/12 storms every winter. Even in the 8 years I've lived in Glasgow we've had force 8-10 every year and 11 2 years ago.

I'm sure you're great about it, but the media really doesn't pay as much attention to storms that don't affect the SE of England!

ouryve Mon 28-Oct-13 15:43:58

Our turn? Oh joy.

17leftfeet Mon 28-Oct-13 15:48:56

Kitten I know you treat all weather the same, I always look out for your threads because you are pretty accurate

The British media however...
We had 6ft drifts of snow at the beginning of march, didn't warrant a mention until 2 days later when the snow hit the south east

ziggiestardust Mon 28-Oct-13 15:54:22

Last night's storm seems to have just clipped SW England. Should I be worried about this one?

CatAmongThePigeons Mon 28-Oct-13 16:04:42

I do hope the forecasts are wrong, some may be hit twice in one week which would be horrible. sad

I wonder if I don't notice the bias because I always hunt out the weather news?

press reports were shit though even in the south we've had stronger since 87.

It has been quite a high impact - 4 deaths so far and 200, 000 still without electricity. I've counted lots of trees down including some great old oaks.

We just dont know where the storm ( if it happens) will hit on Sunday. The models as I said at the beginning of the thread have very different outcomes.

You'll have to excuse me if Im coming across as a bit snippy. i don't mean to be, I'm beyond exhausted. I've been involved in the clear up today as well as a very busy, physically active day yesterday and awake most of the night. I'll be nicer tomorrow smile

BoreOfWhabylon Mon 28-Oct-13 16:27:31

flowers for you, Kitten.

awww thank you smile

17leftfeet Mon 28-Oct-13 16:41:22

You aren't coming across as snippy at all

now worried that I'm coming across snippy

cloudskitchen Mon 28-Oct-13 16:43:11

marking my place and watching with interest. Thanks Kitten x

no you arent 17leftfeet - not at all smile

we are both lovely grin

magimedi Mon 28-Oct-13 16:58:17

No ones being snippy & I offer everyone wine I know it's only Monday - but I feel like a I need a glass!

clam Mon 28-Oct-13 17:23:45

Well I think you're being snippy! (17) So there!
wink

For the record, this storm hit a significantly wider expanse of the country than London, and most of the news coverage was from the South Coast, including a fair bit in Wales.

More flowers kitten smile

thanksthanksthanks cake and wine for OYBBK for services to MN above and beyond even when dealing with rl shit. I know you do these threads because you enjoy them, but don't let them bog you down when you need time away.

thank you smile it is a bit hard to step away sometimes!

still I'm hoping for a quiet night tonight and tomorrow I'm going chill a bit and potter about. Hooray!

wine cheers all!

Irish news showing a potential storm for Friday, and yes we're flying back Friday sad

HeadFairy Mon 28-Oct-13 18:49:05

OYBBK is this current run of lows to do with the jet stream switching direction recently? (Did I get that right, is it the jet stream that switches every 14 months?) The lows seem to be lining up in the Atlantic. I know they normally do a bit in Autumn but they're really charging in.

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