Keeping a beady weather eye on Thurs 25th

(116 Posts)

Will it break down or won't it......

Some of the models are going for a potentially thunderstormy break down on the 25th. (don't fear hot weather lovers, if this happens the heat may well return after a few days).

There is a small chance of things happening sooner than that - on Monday, but I'm not convinced by the models suggesting that.

Will keep things updated here.

fatsatsuma Thu 18-Jul-13 16:05:49

Thanks for your updates OYBBK - as usual in times of interesting weather, they are my first point of reference!

Somewhere up thread you referred to something like a 'thunderstormy breakdown' on Thursday/Monday. Does this mean a breakdown in the high pressure conditions, or just a temporary wet blip? I love this weather, despite the heat, and am just longing for it to last til at least the end of August! grin

The pressure difference between the high pressure over us and the low pressures nearby is pretty minimal, but the high pressure slowly drifts north allowing disruptive troughs to move in, so although a breakdown is inevitable (when?) at the moment it looks like a shift to still warm weather but with rain and storms interspersed.

TobyLerone Thu 18-Jul-13 17:36:02

Balls. We were thinking of going camping next Friday sad

Toby - dont give up on that yet. This isnt the end of summer.

Perihelion Thu 18-Jul-13 20:14:53

Feels like summer's been going on for ages. Had a really dry June, which in Scotland counted as an amazing summer grin. And aside from some rain at the start of July it's been sunny and hot.....28.2C in Edinburgh today. More cloud action, but doesn't seem like anything will come of it. Edinburgh is supremely shite for thunder storms usually, but then it's usually shite for summers too.

IwishIwasmoreorganised Thu 18-Jul-13 20:19:35

Not a cloud in the sky here (south east Wales) tonight.

Today has been an absolute scorcher with very little breeze.

Schools break up tomorrow so we'd love more warm dry weather over the next 6 weeks!

Pascha Thu 18-Jul-13 20:21:01

It was a balmy 20° at Howletts zoo earlier today. I think we hit the giddy heights of 23 on the way home. Poor you lot further up country.

FattyMcChubster Thu 18-Jul-13 20:22:07

OYBBK could you please advise of what I should pack for sat 20th for a week south coast? Please? Don't want to pack all hot stuff if it'll rain/be cooler!
we all know I'll end up packing for all weathers anyway

I would pack hot stuff with a cardi and a mac but not expect to use either.

Was at a meeting last night where a person had bought a giant umbrella with them. Not quite sure which forecast they were listening to!

TobyLerone Thu 18-Jul-13 20:33:28

Argh! But do I book a pitch or not? We're going near Brighton if it helps.

Disclaimer: I know you're not my personal weather guru grin

Also, I hope you're vastly recovered now, OYBBK flowers

I would go for it smile

I'm doing loads better now wine thank you!

FattyMcChubster Thu 18-Jul-13 22:14:42

Thank you OYBBK! winewine for you! grin

TobyLerone Thu 18-Jul-13 22:34:05

Right. I shall call tomorrow. They're probably full anyway!

Glad to hear it smile

lirael Fri 19-Jul-13 07:56:35

Have just looked at accuweather for Pembrokeshire from 27th July - 3rd August and there's a worrying amount of cloud around - sob! Don't think I can bear to have been sweltering inland for the last two weeks only to have it all evaporate just as we go away to the sea sad

BlackAffronted Fri 19-Jul-13 09:41:23

Im heading to Cambridge for 10 days on the 25th .... what do you think the weather will be like on my holiday? I was hoping to get some of the hot stuff they are getting just now sad

BlackAffronted Fri 19-Jul-13 09:49:44

I also have no idea what to pack for me & the kids - so far I have just shorts & tshirts, should I bung in some jeans too?

scripsi Fri 19-Jul-13 21:36:50

am boiling in the south east. I have a job interview in London next thursday afternoon so I am really really really hoping for a break in the weather!

Sparklingbrook Fri 19-Jul-13 21:40:36

The forecast next week seems to be cloudy and sunny with a light rain shower. Every day. confused

scripsi Fri 19-Jul-13 21:46:46

Any chance that it will actually make things feel cooler and not yet more humid Sparkling?

RhondaJean Fri 19-Jul-13 21:49:24

Kitten worth booking pleasure beach tickets for next Friday? It's cheaper online in advance but obviously if it's peeing down not a great idea sad

Next week is becoming very unpredictable. However, even if it rains on occasion it's not going to be cold and miserable. I would carry on with plans with optimism packing an umbrolly and jacket but also shorts and suncream.

Sparklingbrook Fri 19-Jul-13 23:19:02

sad I don't like unpredictable. I feel impending weather doom until the schools go back.

I'm afraid I'm really struggling with the forecast now! The models are switching constantly. I don't think I'll get even this week right, never mind in a weeks time.

The breakdown in the weather as everyone else here has predicted now does seem to be timed to coincide with the start of the English school holidays. However, it still doesn't look too bad for this week at least, with temps for most being very pleasant (mid 20s mid week and perhaps hotter again for a couple of days at the end of the week). The el scorchio temps seem to be vanishing. Yes, there will be some rain and storms, but not in an unpleasant grey cold day sort of way.

I'll be honest. No idea about the week of the 29th currently.

Sparklingbrook Sat 20-Jul-13 08:24:37

OYBBK I fear the worst, then anything else will be a bonus. sad DS1 is off to Boulogne for the day on Monday. I daren't even look at that forecast. Can you have a little look and break it to me gently?

i can live with the absence of El Scorchio I would ideally like nice weather. grin

digerd Sat 20-Jul-13 09:10:52

Much cooler and cloudier today - thank goodness. Forecast for 23 -25 degrees and best of all a fresh breeze.
But still muggy headed from my really good night sleep on Thursdayconfused. Suppose it will time to recover as must have overdone it during the oppressive, suffocating heat? Am getting on a bit <sigh>

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