Badkittens forecast for the coming week or so.

(382 Posts)

Ok.

Models I've looked at for this are GFS (incl ensembles, which I've chosen Oxfordshire as a base as its a goodish pick for central england) UKMO, ECMWF and NAE (for short term)

NAE (model goes to +48 hours)
Today shows snow in EA, north Wales and upwards at 18:00-00:00 it then thins the snow out to EA, nothern midlands (north England) and north east Scotland by morning through to the afternoon. It then shows precip petering out with just patches here and there. Worth noting how much it shows Northern Ireland getting by monday. Ice is going to be a massive problem for many over the next couple of days as max temps dont get above zero in many parts of England (away from the south and coastal areas) Wales and Scotland.

GFS: (model goes out to 9th April)
Shows a quieter picture next week in terms of precipitation (thank goodness as so many areas are beyond saturation). Signals are for precipitation to restart in earnest through the Easter weekend to about the 4th A fair bit of model agreement in the ensembles for this. Flooding quite possibly a problem again at Easter. Temps are cold throughout, perhaps a little warmer that the next few days but not looking like it will get beyond around 8C in the time period. Again ice will be a major short term problem for many.

UKMO (model goes out to 144 hours)
short term, EA has a lot of snow to come on this model tonight into tomorrow morning. It also shows a north-south precip divide with south of Lancashire(ish)/Yorkshire(ish) getting the precip tomorrow before it peters out. It then shows a relatively dry few days before thursday into Friday, where Good Friday may have difficult travel conditions. One to watch for sure!

ECMWF (model goes out to 240 hours)

similar to UKMO but then oh dear, on Good Friday a rather dodgy area of low pressure would bring the potential for widespread disruptive snow.

So, to summarise. All models in agreement for less precipitation after this weekend, but remaining cold. Ice a problem to start with and at night for many through the week. Towards the end of the week becoming unsettled again, with the chance for heavy rain or disruptive snow for Easter. No sign of Spring.

ChippingInLovesSpring Fri 19-Apr-13 22:14:19

Thank you my lovely - will make 'Sunny Day' plans smile

Thank you flowers

thebeastandbeauty Fri 19-Apr-13 22:18:41

Digerd - the heating on during May and August bank holidays I have a strong recollection of being 2009...

digerd Sat 20-Apr-13 10:18:35

S. Herts.

Could well have been. Was that the year we had our summer in April and then turned cold until September when we had an 'indian summer'?

Night temps plummeted to 0 in the early hours, with a clear sky and sunshine today. Azure blue sky with strong sunshine, but atm lovely and fresh air. Hope it stays like it.

digerd Sun 21-Apr-13 06:55:22

S.Herts

Disappointing cold wind yesterday and last night -1, frost on the grass but a clear sky again.

A week ago we had +10 minimum in the night, and now -1 and frosty. What is that all about 3rd week in April?
Not good enough!!

Should improve this week digerd smile

digerd Mon 22-Apr-13 09:02:09

S.Herts

Indeed. Yesterday morning little dog took me along the canal bank and was sunny, sheltered and warm. Unfortunately, I was stopped by a lovely chatty man and his dog, and she was sitting down full in the sun and got overheated in her thick fur coat.

She prefers it cold, so she should be all frisky again next Friday? When frost and cold returns < according to my newspaper> and snow in the north. confused with our weather patterns.

digerd Mon 22-Apr-13 09:07:12

And very warm this Wednesday. Talk about 'unsettled'. What is going on? confused angry

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