A level predictions

[charlie47]

Can anyone help?
DD has A* at GCSE but now got predictions of 3 D and a C at A level following some Alis test.Should I be worried?

[Cahooots]

No you shouldn't be worried. Alis Tests can not possibly give a fair indication of how well your DD will do. If she is currently doing well and already has attained good GCSE grades then I would discount them completely. You can read more opinions about them on the Student Room.

[BackforGood]

Marking spot as I'm confused about this too, for my ds.
Also wondering if these 'predicitons' influence any potential University places / applications ?

[Cahooots]

They definitely don't effect Uni applications.

[glaurung]

what might be worrying is that if it sets teachers expectations for her then they won't be pushing for her to achieve higher. They may have targets to meet for students to meet their predictions, in which case she may have been better if they had been set using alps (based on gcse results).

[senua]

They definitely don't effect Uni applications.

They do and they don't.
Teachers' predictions on the UCAS application do carry weight but those predictions are made at the beginning of Y13 i.e after the DD has had a year of sixth form and teachers have seen how she responds to it, and after AS results are in the bag.

The OP's predictions are at the beginning of Y12 and based on statistical analysis - a different kettle of fish.

[webwiz]

DD2 had some very odd predictions from the ALIS test which bore no relation to what she actually got. I don't remember what they actually were except that Maths was a B and she got an A* in the end whereas her friend was predicted an A but struggled to get a C.


It certainly didn't effect teacher expectations (or grade predictions for university) because they based their judgements on the work that DD2 actually produced.

[Cahooots]

Sauna. I am not sure what you are saying. Teachers predictions for UCAS are obviously extremely important but, as you say, they are made at the end of year 12 after a years works and AS results. I don't get why you think the results of the ALIS tests, taken at the beginning of year 12, do and don't effect Uni applications.

[glaurung]

At some schools, if they notice a child dropping below their predicted grades they put interventions in place to bring them up again. If the predictions are lower to start with then they won't, so even though the UCAS predictions are based on yr12 performance, the predictions may have an input to how good that performance ends up being.

[senua]

Sorry, I obviously didn't make mself clear. BackforGood asked "if these 'predicitons' influence any potential University places / applications".

The Y12 predictions don't affect applications.
The Y13 predictions do.

[Funnylittleturkishdelight]

The predictions are for school data only- this just means your daughter is a massive over achiever and you should feel very proud of her!

Plus her teachers will love her an extra amount as she'll make them look extra awesome on their value added data ;)