I've recently been told that my son might get a 2c in writing this summer in KS1 Sats, which given he was very late to even get interested in writing/drawing I was fine about. But as a newish governor I found out that children who get 2cs struggle to get expected standard at KS2 of a 4. Does that mean I have to take yr 2 Sats as a semi-serious indicator of future ability? I was banking on him being a late developer. I know its only statistics and there will be some who won't conform, but how much movement is there (ie lower performers at yr 2 Sats coming top in yr 6 and vice versa?) Or is it really only the level 3 achievers in yr 2 who get the 5s in yr6? (sorry for all level talk)
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