Recent Earthquakes; Tokyo beware?

(3 Posts)
Isitmebut Sat 30-May-15 23:46:04

Over 20-odd years ago I remember reading that based on past anniversaries, that an earthquake in Tokyo was overdue.

The main context was Japan’s readiness and the affects of such an earthquake on the global capital markets when Japanese Insurance companies would liquidate many $billions of liquid assets to rebuild - as although Tokyo had been building ‘earthquake proof’ building during the decades before, due to technological advances, some were more earthquake proof than others.

So at all times I get very nervous when I hear of seismic activity in the region; isitmebut recently they seems more frequent and destructive than usual e.g. Nepal?

When I read a headline like the link below, I’m not just concerned for the citizens of Tokyo due to potential Tsunamis we recently witnessed, it’s the potential structural damage, the like we have not seen before in modern times - when they say the only potentially safe place is the surrounding grounds of the Emperors Palace, built on very solid rock.

May 30 2015; Japan earthquake:Large but very deep temblor strikes offshore
www.cnbc.com/id/102719542

I guess the ’20-odd years’ I have been waiting is no more than a pin prick in geological terms, but a quick Google shows the odds are getting shorter for the main event.

January 2012; Big Tokyo earthquake likely 'within the next few years
www.bbc.co.uk/news/16681136

”The chance of a big earthquake hitting the Japanese capital in the next few years is much greater than official predictions suggest, researchers say.”

”The team, from the University of Tokyo, said there was a 75% probability that a magnitude seven quake would strike the region in the next four years.”

japaneseplum Wed 17-Jun-15 07:49:30

Message withdrawn at poster's request.

Isitmebut Thu 18-Jun-15 12:47:40

Hi there Japaneseplum.

Nature does indeed have its own timetable, but if what I read is correct, if Japan has 1,500 a year (mainly minor tremors), they might be more frequent than some of our buses.

Please correct me if I'm wrong, but I believed the large ones affecting Tokyo appeared to have a historic frequency (in anniversary years) pattern, hence the warning for the past decade or more?

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