Do you think the Tories will get a majority in 2015?

(295 Posts)
lottieandmia Sun 06-Apr-14 10:41:42

?

Or are we more likely to have another coalition?

Bloody hope we don't have another coalition...

ssd Sun 06-Apr-14 10:44:51

christ I hope not

am sick to the back teeth of the tories

did you see IDS trying to defend benefit cuts on tv this morning? unbelievable.

lottieandmia Sun 06-Apr-14 10:45:32

Imagine a coalition of UKIP and the Tories. Worst case scenario, surely?

MagnaCharge Sun 06-Apr-14 10:45:51

I think a lot of people feel let down by the lub dems. I don't know whether this will result in a conservative majority but I think it will be close.

lottieandmia Sun 06-Apr-14 10:46:08

Yes the arsehole. He's fine with people using food banks apparently. angry

lottieandmia Sun 06-Apr-14 10:47:20

I read that for every 4 former Lib Dem voters moving to Labour, only 1 moves to Tory.

EEatingSoupForLunch Sun 06-Apr-14 10:48:24

I hope not too, and am doing what I can (leafletting etc) to help Labour. It concerns me that people are angry with the Lib Dems but sone of the nastier Tory policies, like punishing the unemployed, appeal.

It's quite worrying that ukip are gaining popularity

EEatingSoupForLunch Sun 06-Apr-14 10:48:59

Appeal to a large chunk of people I mean - not to me!

monopoly123 Sun 06-Apr-14 10:50:02

I still don't understand how we ended up with a coalition, it just seemed to serve the purpose of fulfilling DCs ambition of being PM one day but I don't think it was for either the good of the country or a long term plan. A lot of policies seem to be with the proviso of in it for the short term.
2015 - who knows? Scotland independence will certainly be a factor if that happens.
I predict a 40% turnout in voters.

gamerchick Sun 06-Apr-14 10:50:04

Christ i hope not.

lottieandmia Sun 06-Apr-14 10:54:41

Perhaps UKIP has so far had a lot of protest votes and hopefully they won't get so many votes in the general election.

Every time I hear their politicians on the radio I inwardly squirm.

EdithWeston Sun 06-Apr-14 10:57:17

I think it's quite possible. The economy has made the progress expected, the cuts were announced early, so there is nothing new coming there. The latest output figures are good, and as wages begin to creep upwards, people will be feeling a bit better off and won't want it all blown precipitately on another new Labour binge. (Balls has to go if they want to escape the association with reckless spending).

And there is still an almost total absence of policy proposals by Labour, let alone one with some idea of the expected costs and whether there will be countervailing cuts (to what?) or more borrowing (lead balloon). They still look utterly unelectable.

The mantra 'tax bonuses' is all well and good, but I don't think anyone could persuade the electorate that it produces a bottomless pit of money that will pay for everything (in the way that it's been waved around for all sorts of additional spending).

Labour has also said it won't be reversing coalition cuts. Which will be another reason to stick with the coalition parties, as it's backdrop for both main parties and current government, despite omnishambes at times, is the one that has done it.

balenciaga Sun 06-Apr-14 10:58:27

God I hope not confused

lottieandmia Sun 06-Apr-14 11:01:20

The fact that Labour would not reverse the cuts is not a reason to vote for the Tories. The Tories will carry on with their plans to dismantle the NHS and various other nasty ideas they have if they get a majority next time. They didn't manage a majority last time after all.

expatinscotland Sun 06-Apr-14 11:03:48

I think UKIP will get a scary number of votes.

EdithWeston Sun 06-Apr-14 11:03:55

I think some will see it as a reason to continue.

And of course people will remember that it was Labour who introduced private providers into NHS and is totally silent on whether their privatisatiins, or any subsequent ones, would be reversed.

lottieandmia Sun 06-Apr-14 11:12:28

I agree that Scottish independence will have an impact.

LoveIsAnOpenDoor Sun 06-Apr-14 11:13:33

I bloody well hope not!

FriedFishAndBread Sun 06-Apr-14 11:15:35

It is scary when you think how popular ukip has grown.

All because he likes a pint and a fag and calls a spade a spade... urgh

I like a pint and the odd fag, doesn't mean I like his policys and party views.

ttosca Sun 06-Apr-14 11:21:52

No:

www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/gainloss.html

We'll be rid of the psychopaths soon.

ttosca Sun 06-Apr-14 11:22:15

...At least if current voting trends continue.

EdithWeston Sun 06-Apr-14 11:27:32

Not so sure ttosca - look at the graphs: if the trend continues (Tory and UKIP moving up, Lab and moving down) then the result on today's snapshot will be badly wrong.

And until there's a proper Labour manifesto out, there's a big confounder: we need polls after they've set their stall out. And they are leaving it rather late now. Anyone know their planned timing?

lottieandmia Sun 06-Apr-14 12:06:40

I hope you are right ttosca. David Cameron is not very popular. I am surprised he hasn't been replaced. Often if the government had a mandate the first time people stick with better the devil you know for two terms but this time the situation was different.

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