Olympic Weather Forecast thread

(117 Posts)

I've dithered between putting it in this section and the weather section.....

Quick disclaimer: Remember I'm an amateur forecaster and so I do get things wrong. Please don't make critical decisions based on any forecasts in this thread!

I'll only work up to 10 days in advance (which is five more days than I do normally any more than that and it really is getting into utter guess work. Anything after 5 days is really just trends and possibilities) Also please bear with me if I dont get round to answering everyones individual questions. As we go through the days the forecasts will change.

So:
27th July (Opening Ceremony)
All 3 main models I look at are showing a low pressure developing to the south with a warm (hot in the se?) and humid air mass. This means that heavy showers are likely in the south possibly with thunderstorms. (nature adding an extra light show to the evenings entertainments?)

Sat 28th July
Cooler, with temps in the south in the low 20's. (In Scotland it looks bloody cold according to GFS, with temps struggling to reach 10C!) Unsettled with widespread showers.

"Sun 29th July*
Looking decidedly unsettled according to GFS with low pressure dominating and cool temps - mid to high teens pretty much across the UK. However ECMWF looks more optimistic with high pressure forming in the wings - so lets hope that is the more accurate model smile

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Thu 02-Aug-12 22:38:41

smile
At the moment it does look like things will temporarily improve towards the end of next week for the south. I hope it stays that way.

Won't be able to post tomorrow until the afternoon at the earliest. Will post as soon as I can.

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Fri 03-Aug-12 07:15:43

v. quick look smile

Fri 3rd,

after a pleasant start showers once again breaking out. However some parts may stay dry smile temps quite decent in the south.

Sat 4th
Today the north half of Scotlnd is the place to be with much less in the way of showers. Elsewhere heavy, thundery showers once again breaking out. Perhaps clearing up in the far SE later. weather warnings out for the heavy rain

Sun 5th
Away from the NE another nice start to the day. Once again showers breaking out., sometimes heavy. Maybe parts of the SE escaping?????

mon 6th,
Very similar to Sunday.

Tues
looking remarkably similar to Monday.

Weds
Quite similar to tues.

Thurs, Fri
Maybe a temporary reprieve!

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Sat 04-Aug-12 08:18:46

morning all. Just about to do another scan of the models.....

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Sat 04-Aug-12 08:29:17

Sat 4th
Today the north half of Scotlnd is the place to be with much less in the way of showers. Elsewhere heavy, thundery showers once again breaking out. Perhaps clearing up in the far SE later. weather warnings out for the heavy rain

Sun 5th
Away from the Northern England another nice start to the day. Once again showers breaking out, sometimes heavy and thundery.

mon 6th,
Very similar to Sunday.

Tues
Drier smile but by the end of the day, once again showers or rain covering much of England and Wales. Scattered showers in Scotland

Weds
Showers more scattered smile Probably feeling rather humid in the sunshine.

Thurs, Fri
Maybe a temporary reprieve! GFS High pressure WOOHOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Sadly, none of the models show it lasting beyond the weekend, but make the most of it. Temps could get into mid-high 20s.

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Sat 04-Aug-12 12:04:45

bump with the good news

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Sat 04-Aug-12 14:45:15

Bump

TeamGBsometimes Sat 04-Aug-12 14:59:12

It's not a bad day here on the SE coast. We had rain overnight and first thing, but it's lovely now - fluffy clouds and the washing drying a treat on the line. I hope everyone at the events are enjoying them as much as I did, I'm sure they are smile.

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Sat 04-Aug-12 17:51:08

Same here smile a deluge this morning, but quite warm and sunny since.

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Sun 05-Aug-12 09:46:06

Morning all
showers seem to have started early here today but I think they are quite scattered at the moment.

Sun 5th
Once again showers breaking out, sometimes heavy and thundery.

mon 6th,
Very similar to Sunday but as they clear through, western areas of Wales and england could end up with a fine afternoon and evening.

Tues
Drier in the morning away from western coasts but by the end of the day, once again showers or rain covering much of England and Wales. Scattered showers in Scotland

Weds
Showers much more scattered Probably feeling rather humid in the sunshine. Note now that the met office have forecast fog for central England for the morning!!

Thurs, Fri
A temporary reprieve! High pressure WOOHOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Sadly, none of the models show it lasting beyond the weekend, but make the most of it. Temps could get into mid-high 20s.

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Sun 05-Aug-12 09:49:29

Note weather warnings for todays heavy rain

SparklingGoldMedals Sun 05-Aug-12 09:55:59

Worcestershire here. No rain yet although it has been promised for a while. Looks like today may be the day.

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Sun 05-Aug-12 23:12:01

It cleared up here to leave a lovely afternoon.
Showers can often look awful on the weather map, but so often they aren't such a pain in reality.

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Mon 06-Aug-12 09:09:58

Somewhat harder for me to update for the next few days as I've had to pack my computer away ( we are finally replacing our 20+ year old carpet!) the house is a disaster area!

Today's weather warnings

Back in a mo with the rest hopefully!

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Mon 06-Aug-12 09:20:49

Mon, showery, particularly heavy in the east with perhaps the west clearing up this afternoon to leave a fine evening.

Tues. Rain for the south moving in( bloody typical, tomorrow's the day when the furniture needs to be out of the house. Aargh) Scattered showers elsewhere with some spots staying dry.

Wed. Some scattered showers in the south, but generally a rather nicer picture smile

Thurs. Hooray! I think low cloud could be a bit of a plague for some east and west coastal areas, with perhaps a few spots of rain, but in general a rather nice day.

Fri. Bloody gorgeous. Though maybe a bit of rain for n. Wales.

Sat. Remaining nice for the eastern side? Stupid low pressure for the western side bringing rain.

Sun. Bastard weather returns to form.

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Mon 06-Aug-12 10:14:41

Bump smile

TheDoctrineOfEnnis Mon 06-Aug-12 10:18:18

Oh no for Sunday hope it improves!

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Mon 06-Aug-12 10:22:38

It's still a way off, so I hope things will change smile

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Mon 06-Aug-12 14:59:41

Thunder here.

TeamGBsometimes Mon 06-Aug-12 15:19:19

Sunshine and showers here. Nothing too spectacular.

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Wed 08-Aug-12 08:18:55

Morning all, sorry for the hiccup in proceedings yesterday, I had to leave extra early cos we went to the triathlon smile currently lazing in bed so will catch up with the weather in a bit.

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Thu 09-Aug-12 08:06:03

ok, clearly yesterday didnt happen, but I've got my pc back up and running smile

Today:
Well, it loked like the models early in the week were correct with a warm/hot dry day, with many places seeing lots of sunshine. temps in mid-high 20s in the south, cooler in the north.

Fri
Very similar picture, bit warmer in the south. Remaining cooler in Scotland and northern England

Sat
Still dry almost everywhere, just perhaps the very odd isolted shower in Scotland and the far SW smile Temps starting to come back down.

Sun (olympic closing ceremony)
Rain moves in across England, but perhaps not making it into the SE. Northern England may stay dry. The odd shower in eastern Scotland. Rather warm in the SE, cooler elsewhere.

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Thu 09-Aug-12 08:39:53

bump smile

TheDoctrineOfEnnis Thu 09-Aug-12 08:47:12

Fingers crossed for Sunday!

OhYouGreatGreatBritain Thu 09-Aug-12 11:39:25

I hope its ok.
Closing ceremony <sobs a little>

amillionyears Thu 09-Aug-12 15:09:30

Thanks for your weather forecasts.They were pretty much spot on where we were.

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